Two teams who can't wait for June to end open a Monday-Wednesday three-game set to close out the month.
New York Mets (35-49, 5th in NL East, 16-25 on the road, -45 run differential) travel north of the border to take on the defending American League champion Toronto Blue Jays (39-45, 3rd in AL East, 22-24 at home, -33 run differential).
Both the Mets and the Blue Jays enter the 7:07 PM ET first pitch at Rogers Centre as losers of six of their last seven games. The Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 matchups, while the Blue Jays are 3-7 in theirs.
The Blue Jays are trying to right the ship while staying at home after getting swept by the Rangers, but they are currently riding a six-game losing streak (all on their home turf).
However, Mets veteran left-hander Sean Manaea might be just what the doctor ordered for Toronto.
Of course, we can't skip over the fact that this series marks the homecoming for Mets shortstop/third baseman Bo Bichette, who spent the first seven seasons of his big league career in a Blue Jays uniform.
Mets vs. Blue Jays betting picks and predictions
Blue Jays ML (-125)
When the dazzling young Nolan McLean was initially slated to start for the Mets, I had it in mind to back New York at any price.
However, the decision to push McLean to Tuesday and go with Manaea tonight totally changes the equation.
Manaea has been relegated to a swingman role in 2026, making 17 appearances and just three starts. He carries a 4.87 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 57.1 innings.
If that isn't troublesome enough, Manaea has allowed a .287 batting average and an .856 OPS to right-handed hitters this year.
Two dangerous righties in Toronto’s lineup, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer, are a combined 16-for-47 with two doubles and a home run lifetime against Manaea.
Then there's bat-to-ball king Ernie Clement, a right-handed hitter who is batting .300 this year with a .318 average at home.
Rookie Kazuma Okamoto, who leads the Blue Jays with 19 home runs, owns an .811 OPS with five homers off southpaws in just 50 at-bats. Even the light-hitting Myles Straw is 4-for-11 lifetime versus Manaea.
Manaea was only able to complete three innings in his last outing against the Cubs, and he has allowed seven runs over his last 14 frames.
On the other side, Blue Jays starter Trey Yesavage has the advantage over the Mets in the sense that no opposing hitter has faced him.
Yesavage has walked 30 batters in 60 innings (yikes), but outside of the free passes, he has been great.
Neither side of the plate is even hitting .200 against him. After issuing five walks last time out, I expect him to dial it in, work deep enough into this game to outlast Manaea by a couple of innings and hand the ball over to the bullpen with a lead.
I like Toronto to snap its six-game skid.
Under 8.5 total runs (-110)
At first glance, I leaned toward the Over, but the more I dug into the matchup, the more the Under spoke to me.
While the Blue Jays have been partial to the Over, 44 of their games have cleared the run total, neither offense enters this matchup exactly scorching hot.
The Mets rank 29th in OPS away from home and 28th against right-handed pitching, while the Blue Jays rank just 18th in OPS at home.
These two bullpens have actually been really solid as well, with each ranking in the top 10 in baseball by ERA.
Perhaps most importantly, these two lineups will chase pitches outside the zone. In fact, both teams chase more than 31% of the time.
Manaea's best attribute this year has been inducing chase, while Yesavage's results have been highly correlated to the chase and whiff rates he generates.
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Mets vs. Blue Jays odds
New York Mets | +105 ML |
Toronto Blue Jays | -125 ML |
Run Line | TOR Blue Jays -1.5 |
Total | O/U 8.5 |
Mets vs. Blue Jays player props
Player home run odds
Kazuma Okamoto (TOR Blue Jays) | +275 |
Juan Soto (NY Mets) | +350 |
George Springer (TOR Blue Jays) | +450 |
Alejandro Kirk (TOR Blue Jays) | +475 |
Jared Young (NY Mets) | +475 |
Francisco Lindor (NY Mets) | +500 |
Francisco Alvarez (NY Mets) | +525 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
