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AL Wild Card Race Odds: Who's Favored to Make the Playoffs?

The 2026 MLB regular season is wrapping up, but there's still lots to be decided in the playoff race - especially in the AL.

Before breaking down the odds for the team's on the cusp of the playoffs, let's take a look at the standings below:

AL Division Standings - As of Sep. 15

AL East

Team

Record

Games Back

Tampa Bay Rays

90-59

-

New York Yankees

87-63

3.5

Boston Red Sox

82-68

8.5

Toronto Blue Jays

75-76

16

Baltimore Orioles

73-78

18

AL Central

Team

Record

Games Back

Chicago White Sox

77-73

-

Cleveland Guardians

76-75

1.5

Detroit Tigers

71-79

6

Minnesota Twins

70-80

7

Kansas City Royals

66-84

11

AL West

Team

Record

Games Back

Houston Astros

75-75

-

Texas Rangers

74-76

1

Seattle Mariners

70-81

5.5

Athletics

61-89

14

Los Angeles Angels

57-93

18

AL Wild Card Standings

Team

Record

Games Back

New York Yankees

87-63

+11.5

Boston Red Sox

82-68

+6.5

Cleveland Guardians

76-75

-

Toronto Blue Jays

75-76

1

Texas Rangers

74-76

1.5

Baltimore Orioles

73-78

3

Detroit Tigers

71-79

4.5

The Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox are battling for the AL Central crown, where the loser will have to hope they get the third and final Wild Card spot. It's the same story in the AL West, where the Houston Astros hold a slight lead over the Texas Rangers for the division lead.

The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox have essentially clinched the first two Wild Card spots in the AL, leaving just one spot remaining for the teams that don't win their division. As of right now, the Guardians, Toronto Blue Jays, Rangers, and Baltimore Orioles are all within three games of each other, and only one of these teams will make the playoffs if the current division leaders stay the same.

Texas is actually closer to holding the AL West lead (one game back) compared to fighting for the third Wild Card spot (1.5 games back), but they won't have any more chances head-to-head against Houston for the rest of the season. Their series this weekend against the Blue Jays will be a massive one in this race.

Along with playing the Rangers, the Blue Jays will also play a three-game set against the Orioles before the season ends which could become a monumental one if Baltimore catches fire late.

Cleveland and the White Sox are in the midst of a three-game series right now with Chicago taking the first game. Both teams have light schedules to close (A's, Red Sox, Royals for Cleveland, Tigers, Royals, Rockies for Chicago), so the next two games of their series are must-wins for each team. If the Guardians somehow end up winning the Central, the White Sox are in prime position to get the final Wild Card.

Here's a look at the current odds for the AL bubble teams to make the playoffs on bet365:

AL Playoff Odds - As of Sep. 15

Odds presented by bet365

Chicago White Sox

-1500

Houston Astros

-450

Cleveland Guardians

-150

Texas Rangers

+170

Toronto Blue Jays

+175

Seattle Mariners

+2200

Baltimore Orioles

+2500

Detroit Tigers

+4000

Read the latest MLB news on site.

All odds written in this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.

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