The USA and Bosnia-Herzegovina meet in Santa Clara on Wednesday evening with a place in the last 16 of the World Cup up for grabs.
The Stars and Stripes won their opening two Group D games to advance to the knockout stages, securing their place as section winners with a game to spare, before losing 3-2 to Turkey.
Bosnia collected four points to clinch one of the eight best third-placed finisher spots, drawing with co-hosts Canada and beating Qatar.
Another co-host now awaits in the shape of the USA, who are the favorites to progress at the Levi’s Stadium.
The USA have impressed on home soil, securing a 4-1 victory over Paraguay and a 2-0 success against Australia to delight the crowds.
Mauricio Pochettino’s players showed great intent in the opening, as they raced into a 3-0 half-time lead before easing off slightly in the second period.
The two victories allowed the Stars and Stripes to make changes for the final group game against Turkey, as they were already through as section winners, and Pochettino made nine alterations.
Although losing 3-2 to Turkey, the US were still threatening throughout the contest and the attacking flair they have shown should be enough to defeat Bosnia.
Bosnia were perhaps fortunate to get a 1-1 draw against Canada before they were then thumped 4-1 by Switzerland.
A good response came in the 3-1 victory over Qatar, but they lack the same fluency as this US team and anything other than a win for the co-hosts would be a surprise.
The USA conceded four goals in the group stage - one against Paraguay and three against Turkey - and defence has been the weakest part of their game.
The Stars and Stripes have now conceded in 12 of their last 14 games and they may struggle to keep out a determined Bosnia.
Bosnia have found the net in 17 of the last 18 matches, dating back to November 2024.
Nine of the USA’s last 11 matches have seen both teams score, while the same can be said of 11 of Bosnia’s last 12 games.
Folarin Balogun netted 19 times in 43 games across all competitions for Monaco in the 2025/26 season and he has continued his strong scoring form at the World Cup.
The USA international netted a brace in the opening win over Paraguay and he will be fresh for this last-32 clash, having been rested for the Turkey defeat.
Bosnia have kept just one clean sheet in 12 games and Balogun should find opportunities fall his way.
USA | -263 |
Tie | +400 |
Bosnia-Herzegovina | +700 |
Folarin Balogun (USA) | +125 |
Christian Pulisic (USA) | +140 |
Malik Tillman (USA) | +240 |
Edin Dzeko (Bosnia) | +450 |
Ermedin Demirovic (Bosnia) | +500 |
Ermin Mahmic (Bosnia) | +650 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.