A chaotic, unpredictable, and often downright bizarre French Open concludes on Sunday with a clash that will put a new name on the men’s trophy.
Hot favorite Alexander Zverev faces fast‑rising Italian Flavio Cobolli for the chance to end his Grand Slam drought at the age of 29.
The No.2 seed has been the man to beat in Paris since world number one Jannik Sinner and four-time champion Novak Djokovic were sent packing on consecutive days last week.
He secured a place in his fourth Grand Slam final and his second in Paris with a physical four-set win over Jakub Mensik on Friday.
That was the day that 10th seed Cobolli found out that he would play in Sunday’s showpiece without having to face countryman Matteo Arnaldi in the other semifinal.
This will be their fifth meeting in just over 12 months and their fourth on clay with Zverev leading the head‑to‑head 3–1.
That run began with a straight-sets win at the French Open last year and most recently brought the German another dominant 6–1 6–4 victory in Madrid this spring.
Cobolli’s lone win came in Munich, where he produced what commentators called a “crazy good level” — a barrage of forehands, drop shots, kick serves and fearless net rushes that overwhelmed his opponent
Replicating that over best‑of‑five on Court Philippe Chatrier will be tough.
Zverev enters this final as the favorite not just because of ranking or reputation, but because of how composed he has been since Sinner and Djokovic exited the tournament.
He handled the pressure of being the highest‑seeded player left and has looked calm, disciplined and ruthlessly efficient in all his matches.
His serve — historically shaky in big moments — has been far sturdier this fortnight. His baseline game has been heavy, patient and physically imposing. And his ability to defuse opponents’ hot streaks, especially in best‑of‑five, is one of his great strengths.
Cobolli, however, has the firepower to extend sets. His forehand is explosive, his movement elite, and his willingness to take the ball early can disrupt Zverev’s rhythm. Even if the German ultimately controls the match, the Italian’s aggression should push the total beyond 35.5 games.
A four‑set final feels like the most realistic script.
Both players start points deep behind the baseline, trading heavy topspin and waiting for the right moment to strike. That dynamic naturally produces long rallies and few early break chances.
Cobolli tends to start matches fast, while Zverev often uses the opening set to settle into his patterns.
The German has needed to win seven games to win the opening set in each of his last three matches and it would be no surprise to see a long first set again on Sunday.
Cobolli has every reason to believe he can take the first set. He has had four full days of rest since beating Felix Auger‑Aliassime in the quarterfinals, while Zverev has had only two days to recover from his semifinal.
The Italian has clinched the opener in four of his five matches at Roland Garros this year and has the kind of explosive, streaky game that could catch Zverev cold.
That is what he did when they met in Munich earlier this year and it laid the platform for his straight-sets win, although Zverev was ready for him in Madrid and broke early to run out an even more comfortable winner.
The nature of that performance and the German’s ruthlessly efficient displays in Paris this fortnight suggest he can overcome an early setback if Cobolli gets his nose in front this time.
Zverev’s experience in Slam finals — painful as some of it has been — should stand him in good stead.
He has blown leads before, but he has also learned from them. His ability to reset, tighten his patterns and lean on his serve makes him a strong candidate to recover even if Cobolli jumps ahead.
Flavio Cobolli | +350 |
Alexander Zverev | -450 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
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