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French Open Women's Final: Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva Prediction, Pick & Odds

Qualifier Maja Chwalinska will attempt to deny Mirra Andreeva what many believe could be the first Grand Slam title of a glorious career on Saturday when the pair meet in an historic French Open final.

The Russian teenager enters as the clear favorite, but Chwalinska’s awkward left‑handed style and the full backing of a partisan Paris crowd could help level the playing field.

This year’s tournament has been packed with surprises, and both finalists delivered upsets in their semi‑final victories on Thursday.

Chwalinska is only the second qualifier ever to reach a women’s Grand Slam final and the lowest‑ranked French Open finalist in history at No.114.

The 24‑year‑old has dropped just one set in nine consecutive wins, beating three seeded players and winning over the Paris crowd with her creativity and resilience.

Andreeva was equally impressive in her semifinal demolition of 15th seed Marta Kostyuk, who had beaten her twice this season and arrived on a 17‑match clay winning streak.

The world No.8 has dropped only seven games across her last two matches and is aiming to become the youngest French Open champion since Monica Seles.

Andreeva has long been tipped as a future Grand Slam winner, but Chwalinska’s fairytale run may yet have one final chapter.

Maja Chwalinska v Mirra Andreeva betting picks and predictions

Maja Chwalinska +5.5 Games Handicap (-138)

If the match goes according to form, Andreeva will be the one lifting the trophy. She has been the standout clay‑court player on the WTA Tour this season, reaching the Madrid final, winning the Linz event, and powering through six rounds in Paris with remarkable composure.

Chwalinska’s run has been astonishing given her struggles with depression in the past and lowly ranking, but Andreeva represents a level she has not yet faced.

The teenager’s tennis IQ is exceptional — she absorbs pace, redirects angles and constructs points with a maturity far beyond her 19 years.

However, Andreeva has been prone to meltdowns on court and particularly when the crowd have got on her back.

It happened at Roland Garros last year when wildcard Lois Boisson knocked her out in the quarter-finals. The partisan Paris crowd made their feelings known when the Russian questioned a line call in the second set as she crumbled from 3-0 up to lose six games in a row and the match.

There have been examples of her losing her cool during defeats at the Australian Open and Indian Wells this year too.

The pressure of being the overwhelming favorite in her first Slam final could weigh heavily.

Against Kostyuk, she benefitted from being the underdog; that won’t be the case on Saturday.

The crowd have fallen for Chwalinska’s Cinderella story and will be behind her from the start on Saturday, which could give her the extra energy to make this more competitive than the odds suggest.

She has nothing to lose, is playing with complete freedom, and has the sort of game that Andreeva may find hard to handle.

Her slices, drop shots and changes of rhythm can frustrate opponents that like to dictate with power.

The teenager’s athleticism and consistency should ultimately prove decisive, but Chwalinska has enough tools—and enough crowd energy—to keep this competitive.

Staying within the +5.5 game handicap looks well within her reach.

Maja Chwalinska Over 8.5 Games Won (-120)

The market expects a comfortable Andreeva win, but Chwalinska’s style makes her a uniquely awkward opponent.

These two have never met on the WTA Tour, and that unfamiliarity could work in the Pole’s favor. She is left‑handed, unpredictable, and uses more slice backhands than any player in the WTA Top 150.

That slice could be a real disruptor. Andreeva prefers to step inside the baseline and dictate with her powerful forehand, but low‑skidding balls force her into uncomfortable positions and can blunt her aggression.

Sustaining pressure over two sets against Andreeva’s depth and precision will be difficult, but Chwalinska has shown she can string together runs of games and seize momentum when opponents wobble.

Winning at least nine games feels achievable, even in defeat.

Maja Chwalinska Under 0.5 Aces (-200)

One of the most underrated aspects of Chwalinska’s run has been her serving discipline. She prioritises placement over power and rarely goes for high‑risk flat serves.

The precise Pole has served only three aces across her six main‑draw matches — and all came in her third‑round win over Maria Sakkari.

In five of her six matches, she has not served a single ace.

Against Andreeva, who is one of the best returners of her generation, it is unlikely Chwalinska will suddenly start booming first serves down the T.

Her serve is designed to start rallies, not win free points, so the under here — even at 0.5 — looks a strong angle.

Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva odds

Maja Chwalinska

+300

Mirra Andreeva

-400

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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