United States vs. Germany Prediction & Best Bets

The USMNT begin their final preparations for the 2026 World Cup when they meet Germany in Chicago for a friendly on Saturday night.

With just one match remaining before the USA's Group D opener against Paraguay, Mauricio Pochettino will be eager to build momentum and sharpen his strongest lineup against one of the world's elite international sides.

United States vs. Germany Friendly Match betting picks and predictions

Germany -1 Spread Result (+150)

Germany head into their final World Cup warm-up game in excellent shape and look well placed to cover the one-goal spread against a USA side that remains a work in progress under Pochettino.

Die Mannschaft have won eight straight matches, scoring 26 goals during that run while conceding only five. Their latest outing was a dominant 4-0 victory over Finland, a game in which they allowed zero shots on target and controlled proceedings from start to finish.

Jamal Musiala, Florian Wirtz and Deniz Undav all impressed, underlining the attacking depth available to Julian Nagelsmann.

Germany's balance throughout the team is difficult to ignore, with proven quality in defence, midfield and attack giving them an edge over a USA side that is still searching for consistency.

The United States arrive with more questions than answers and while Sunday's 3-2 win over Senegal was a positive result, defensive issues continue to linger. The Americans have conceded nine goals across their last three matches, including defeats to Belgium and Portugal earlier this year.

Germany have also enjoyed this matchup in recent years. They came from behind to beat the USMNT 3-1 when the sides met in 2023 and have won five of the last six meetings overall.

With Germany carrying superior quality throughout, they look capable of winning by multiple goals in Chicago.

Jamal Musiala 2+ Shots on Target (+175)

Musiala looks ready to play a leading role for Germany this summer and his shots-on-target line stands out at attractive odds.

The Bayern Munich star scored against Finland on Sunday and finished the match with two shots on target from three total attempts. While Germany possess plenty of attacking talent, international soccer places even greater responsibility on Musiala's shoulders than with his club, where he shares the spotlight with players such as Harry Kane, Michael Olise and Luis Diaz.

Musiala was joint-top scorer at Euro 2024 and has become one of Germany's primary outlets in the final third. His willingness to drive directly at defenders and shoot from central positions consistently produces opportunities on target.

The USA have also looked vulnerable defensively, conceding nine goals in their last three matches, and Musiala should see plenty of opportunities against a back line that has struggled against elite opposition.

Musiala 2+ shots on target also appeals paired with Germany to cover the spread, which is available at +588.

Germany to Win and Both Teams to Score (+187)

Germany should have enough quality to secure victory, but backing both teams to score alongside a German win offers greater value than taking the visitors outright.

Nagelsmann's side have scored 26 goals during their current eight-game winning streak and boast one of the most talented attacking units in international soccer. Musiala and Wirtz continue to create chances at a remarkable rate, while Kai Havertz's return gives Germany another proven goalscoring option.

However, the United States have enough attacking quality to contribute. Christian Pulisic found the net against Senegal while, Folarin Balogun scored the winner in that game, and the Americans have now scored 14 goals across their last six matches.

Balogun enters the tournament in strong form after scoring 18 goals across Ligue 1 and Champions League competition this season. He has also established himself as the focal point of the US attack, scoring nine goals in 26 international appearances, including four in his last eight matches.

Pochettino’s side should be able to get on the scoresheet, particularly with Germany's defence having shown vulnerability when conceding three to Switzerland recently. As a result, a 3-1 victory for Germany is my correct score selection, which is available at +1100.

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United States vs. Germany Friendly Match odds

United States	+400
Tie	+200
Germany	-175

United States vs. Germany Friendly Match player props

Anytime goalscorer

Christian Pulisic (USA)	+275
Folarin Balogun (USA)	+275
Ricardo Pepi (USA)	+275
Kai Havertz (Germany)	+110
Nick Woltemade (Germany)	+110
Deniz Undav (Germany)	+110

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.