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UFC Medic vs. Rodriguez Fight Night in Serbia
  1. MMA

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez Prediction & Best Bets

The action continues this weekend with UFC Fight Night 283, where the Main Event is a Welterweight showdown between the Uros Medic and Daniel Rodriguez.

UFC Fight Night 283 is scheduled for Saturday, August 1 and takes place at the Belgrade Arena in BG Serbia.

The fight card consists of 14 total fights across the Preliminary Card and the Main Card, which will feature a Main Event in the UFC Welterweight division between the #14th-ranked Medic and the #15th-ranked Rodriguez. 

The Preliminary Card is expected to begin at 10:00 AM ET and will be followed by the Main Card at approximately 1:00 PM ET. Further, UFC Fight Night 283 will be available to stream through Paramount+.

Our article previews the UFC Fight Night 283 Main Event between Medic and Rodriguez by providing our two best bets, while we have included the current betting odds for this fight.

Medic vs. Rodriguez: betting picks and predictions

Medic to win by KO/TKO (-225)

Our top pick for this Main Event fight between Medic and Rodriguez looks for Medic to win by KO/TKO.

Medic enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-3 and 8-3 in the UFC. His most recent UFC fight resulted in a win by KO/TKO against Geoff Neal back in February 2026. 

Medic has almost exclusively been a striker throughout his career, averaging 5.59 significant strikes per minute, with a striking accuracy of 60%.

This is compared to his grappling, in which he averages 0.34 takedowns every 15 minutes, has a takedown accuracy of 50%, and a takedown defense of 55%.

Rodriguez enters this bout with a record of 20-5 and 11-4 in the UFC and his most recent UFC fight was a win against Kevin Holland by unanimous decision back in July 2025.

Similar to Medic, Rodriguez also prefers striking, averaging 7.20 significant strikes per minute and he has a striking accuracy of 49%.

In terms of his grappling, Rodriguez averages 0.51 takedowns every 15 minutes, has a striking defense of 50%, and a takedown defense of 64%.

Medic may be a significant favorite, therefore, we are looking at the method he could win by. Most notably, all of Medic's wins in MMA have come by KO/TKO - this includes his eight UFC wins. 

Rodriguez, on the other hand, has only lost by KO/TKO once in the UFC. That said, Medic's power looks to be unmatched, despite Rodriguez holding the advantage in striking volume. 

Because Medic has only ever won by KO/TKO, backing Medic to also win this fight by KO/TKO is our best bet for Saturday's Main Event.

Over 1.5 total rounds (+155)

Our second pick for this fight looks at the over total rounds. This pick will likely come down to Rodriguez, as Medic has seen the majority of his UFC fights end in the first round.

Rodriguez, however, has seen 12 of his 15 UFC fights go over 1.5 total rounds, which includes his last four fights and seven of his last eight. 

Even though almost all of Medic's UFC fights have finished under 1.5 total rounds, Rodriguez has generally been able to last multiple rounds.

For this reason, backing over 1.5 total rounds is our second play for Saturday's Main Event.

Medic vs. Rodriguez odds

Uros Medic

Daniel Rodriguez

Moneyline

-425

+325

By Decision or Technical Decision

+900

+1800

By KO, TKO, or DQ

-220

+500

By Submission

+850

+1100

Total Rounds

Over

Under

1.5

+155

-200

2.5

+320

-450

3.5

+450

-700

4.5

+575

-950

Fight to Go the Distance

Yes

No

+600

-1000

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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