Los Angeles Dodgers, the back-to-back defending champions, could not be playing worse baseball right now.
Since July 31, they are 5-11 and 2-11 against teams with a winning record.
They just completed their homestand losing three of four to the Milwaukee Brewers, mustering just 10 runs in those games and Dave Roberts called out the team after Sunday’s loss.
LA still owns a seven-game lead in the National League West, and perhaps they find some refuge in Colorado tonight against the 50-74 last place Rockies.
The Dodgers are 7-3 against the Rockies on the year and 52-22 against them since 2021. Even more lopsided, the Dodgers have won 21 of the last 25 in Colorado. The season split so far in Colorado, however, is 2-2.
The Rockies are actually coming into tonight with confidence, having won consecutive road series over division rivals, the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Francisco Giants.
Can the Dodgers regain their confidence, or will the Rockies continue riding high on theirs? Let's break down our three best bets.
Dodgers vs. Rockies betting picks and predictions
Dodgers -1.5 (-165)
In years past we have seen the Dodgers be -2.5 on the run line in Colorado. The fact we can get them at -165 on -1.5 is a deal we simply can't pass up. Not when the pitching matchup is Blake Snell vs Tomoyuki Sugano.
And sure, Sugano has made 21 starts to Snell's two this year and Sugano has been far better at home, but these two pitchers have starkly different track records against the opposition.
In 34 career at-bats against Snell, the Rockies roster is 4-for-34 with one run batted in and four walks against 20 strikeouts.
On the other side, the Dodgers are 15-for-44 against Sugano with four doubles and six home runs. Shohei Ohtani has taken him deep three times in eight at-bats, while Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman and Max Muncy all have done so as well.
Sugano has allowed left-handed hitters to accumulate a .900 OPS this year and the Dodgers have plenty of powerful left-handed bats.
He also just doesn't miss bats, with 66 strikeouts in 113.2 innings, so with that thin Colorado air, this feels like a breakout game for a recently dormant but always dangerous lineup.
Ohtani goes crazy and the Dodgers cover the run line. Don't overthink this one.
Over 10.5 total runs (-120)
10.5 total runs, only in Colorado!
And we are still riding with the over. Nine of the last 16 games between the Dodgers and Rockies in Colorado have sailed over this number, including the two most recent meetings.
Coors Field, by far, is No. 1 in Park Factor, meaning it is the most fertile breeding ground for offense. The most runs, the most extra-base hits, the highest on-base percentage, the works.
Pair the game's most spacious outfield with a Colorado defense that ranks 25th in Fielding Run Value against this Dodger lineup and you have a recipe for some crooked numbers.
Also, it's important to consider Snell has not pitched at Coors Field since June of 2023.
Yes, he has had lots of success against the Rockies, but this atmosphere is a different beast and in just his third start of the season and second start back from injury, things could get wonky.
Colorado has the fourth worst bullpen by ERA. The Dodger bullpen has been one of baseball's worst during this stretch of poor play.
The Dodgers own baseball's best road offense by OPS, by a wide margin, in addition to the top OPS vs right-handed pitching.
The Rockies own baseball's third best home OPS and are 13th against left-handed pitching.
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run (+180)
Let's not try to get too cute here. Ohtani seems to take all of his Japanese counterparts deep and five hits and three home runs in eight at-bats against Sugano is pretty insane.
Going from seeing the Brewers' elite pitching staff at home to Sugano in the Colorado air could mean unworldly things for baseball's most talented individual.
Ohtani is 98th percentile in average exit velocity and 96th percentile in barrel rate. Sugano is sixth percentile in average exit velocity allowed and first percentile in barrel rate allowed. It's no coincidence Ohtani has his number.
Take the plus money. Take Ohtani to go deep.
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Dodgers vs. Rockies odds
Los Angeles Dodgers | -250 ML |
Colorado Rockies | +220 ML |
Run Line | LA Dodgers -1.5 |
Total | O/U 10.5 |
Dodgers vs. Rockies player props
Player home run odds
Shohei Ohtani (LA Dodgers) | +180 |
Max Muncy (LA Dodgers) | +265 |
Hunter Goodman (COL Rockies) | +400 |
Teoscar Hernandez (LA Dodgers) | +450 |
Mookie Betts (LA Dodgers) | +475 |
Freddie Freeman (LA Dodgers) | +475 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
