Check out the latest odds for the most seats at the next UK general election.
Amidst recent positioning by Andy Burnham to stand for election in Makerfield and his subsequent winning of the by-election, Labour have overtaken Reform UK as favourites to win the most seats at the next general election, with Keir Starmer announcing his resignation as prime minister.
After reaching 56% in the polls in July 22%, and being elected with a substantial 17-point lead two years later, the government's popularity has tanked since coming to power, steadily declining from 26% in January 2025 to a record low of 17% in May 2026 according to YouGov.
Burnham is widely expected to succeed Starmer as prime minister with Labour desperately hoping to bounce back in the polls.
Burnham's position is made slightly easier with the rise of Restore, the far-right alternative to Reform UK, whose own polling numbers have dipped from a high of 29% in September 2025 to 24% on 15th June.
While Restore aren't currently part of YouGov's polling, 'Other' was polling at 2% in January and up to 6% now.
Although Reform would have finished second in Makerfield even if all the Restore votes were added to their tally, but the rise of Rupert Lowe's party will no doubt cause concern within Reform ranks, with Reform now second favourites for the most seats at the next general election.
The market regarding the overall majority at the next election has no overall majority at 8/13, with Labour majority slightly shorter than a Reform majority at 9/2 vs 5/1.
Unless an early election is called, the next election is set to be held in July 2029.
All odds in the above article correct at time of publishing and subject to change or withdrawal at any time.
