Both Turkey and Italy started this international break with home defeats without scoring, which was another blow to two sides enduring a difficult year.
Turkey fell short as dark horses at the World Cup, becoming the first side to be eliminated from the expanded competition.
There were some encouraging signs in their 1-0 UEFA Nations League defeat to France on Friday, but Vincenzo Montella's side have now lost three of their last four matches.
Italy turned to Roberto Mancini for a second stint as manager after they missed out on the World Cup once again.
The man who led them to Euro 2020 glory endured a rough return as the Azzurri were beaten 2-0 at home by Belgium.
Turkey v Italy Tips Summary
Best Bet - Over 2.5 goals @ 3/4
Alternative Bet - Moise Kean to score anytime @ 7/4
Bet Builder - Arda Guler, Moise Kean & Davide Frattesi 1+ shot on target @ 14/5
Turkey v Italy Prediction
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 3/4
While both Turkey and Italy failed to find the net on Friday, both sides created enough chances to get on the scoresheet.
Turkey edged the Expected Goals battle against France 1.21 to 1.17, while Italy won the shot count against Belgium while generating an xG of 1.7.
Both sides have talent in the final third and they were each impressive going forward in World Cup qualifying.
Italy netted 21 goals in eight qualifiers, before going on to score three times in March's play-off double header.
Turkey scored twice in five of their six qualifiers last year, which included claiming a 2-2 draw in Spain.
Italy's last Nations League campaign featured 30 goals in eight matches, while Turkey scored 15 goals in eight games as they won promotion to the top tier.
Neither side looks all that convincing at the back, with Turkey to be without goalkeeper Ugurcan Cakir after he was sent off against France.
Italy conceded a huge 2.76 xG in their home loss to Belgium, so both sides should be able to get back to their best going forward.
Alternative Bet: Moise Kean to score anytime @ 7/4
Moise Kean will be key to Italy finding their groove in the final third and the Como forward can bounce back after a disappointing display against the Red Devils.
The former Everton man had five shots on Friday, including two on target. He had an xG tally of 0.52, but he wasn’t able to extend an impressive scoring record for his country.
Kean had gone into that clash having found the net in his previous six starts for Italy. He scored in both of their World Cup play-off matches in March, taking his tally to 13 goals for his country.
The forward netted three times in three starts for Italy in their last Nations League campaign and he has now established himself in the side, playing 90 minutes in Mancini's first game in charge.
Turkey have failed to keep a clean sheet in five straight games, and Kean can cause them more problems.
Turkey v Italy Bet Builder Tip
Arda Guler 1+ shot on target
Moise Kean 1+ shot on target
Davide Frattesi 1+ shot on target
Pays 14/5
With chances expected, there are three players who stand out in the shot on target market.
First up is goalscorer tip Kean, who has nine shots on target across seven appearances for Fiorentina, Como and Italy this season.
Azzurri midfielder Davide Frattesi has caught the eye with Lazio, scoring in three of his first five games in Serie A this season.
He had a shot when coming off the bench against Belgium and he's expected to play a bigger role in this clash.
For Turkey, Arda Guler has recorded a shot on target in four of his last six games for Real Madrid.
He also had an effort on target for his nation against France and he's had an effort on goal in five of his last seven competitive internationals.
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Key Match Stats
Italy scored 24 goals across their failed World Cup qualifying campaign
Turkey netted twice in five of their six qualifiers last year
Turkey recorded 1.21 xG in their Nations League opener, with Italy posting 1.7 xG
Italy saw 30 goals scored across their eight games in their previous Nations League campaign
Turkey scored 15 times in eight Nations League matches as they won promotion to the top tier
Moise Kean has scored on six of his last seven starts for Italy
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
