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Premier League 25/26 Season Handicap market released

Ahead of the new season, the ever-popular Season Handicap market was released for the 2025/26 Premier League.

bet365's Steve Freeth said: "Forget world-class players, wage bills and profit and sustainability, history has shown us that any of the 20 clubs can win the Premier League handicap, which why it’s so popular.

"Forest were the latest side to win with a significant head start following in the footsteps of Aston Villa +32, Brentford +46, West Ham +44 and Sheffield United +52 over the last six years with Liverpool +7 sandwiched in between them in 2022 and Manchester City being the last side to win off scratch in 2018.

"Furthermore, the top three teams in the table last season all had a start of 40 points or more (Brentford +42 & Fulham +42).

"Liverpool start on zero this season with Pep’s side and Arsenal both on +3 before a ball is kicked.

"Last season’s big underachievers Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur are +21 & +22 respectively with current holders Forest on +32.

"Leeds are always popular and we anticipate support for them having given them +43, but I’ve got an inkling that Sunderland with 52 points could be the pick of the promoted sides with four each-way places up for grabs.”

Premier League Season Handicap

For those new to the market, each team is assigned a points total which essentially acts as a head start for the season.

At the end of the campaign, each team’s handicap is added to their actual points total, and whoever finishes with the most points wins.

Keep in mind, the team you back must finish above all other teams after all handicaps have been added. See last season’s final table as an example below:

Team

Handicap

Points

Total

Nottingham Forest

47

65

112

Brentford

42

56

98

Fulham

42

54

96

Bournemouth

39

56

95

Liverpool

9

84

93

Brighton

32

61

93

Aston Villa

24

66

90

Everton

42

48

90

Crystal Palace

34

53

87

Newcastle

19

66

85

Chelsea

16

69

85

Wolves

42

42

84

West Ham

34

43

77

Leicester

51

25

76

Arsenal

2

74

76

Ipswich

50

22

72

Man City

0

71

71

Southampton

50

12

62

Man Utd

18

42

60

Tottenham

20

38

58

Anywhere around the mid-90s would typically be a strong season with 100+ usually required to win, but with a number of teams grossly underperforming three seasons ago, 100 wasn’t even enough for a place.

Previous winners

Season

Winner

Total points

2024/25

Nottingham Forest +47

112

2023/24

Aston Villa +32

100

2022/23

Brentford +46

105

2021/22

Liverpool +7

99

2020/21

West Ham +44

109

2019/20

Sheffield United +52

106

2018/19

Liverpool +6

103

Premier League 25/26 Season Handicap Odds

Team

Handicap

Odds

Liverpool

0

15/1

Manchester City

+3

15/1

Arsenal

+3

15/1

Chelsea

+12

15/1

Newcastle

+15

15/1

Manchester United

+21

15/1

Aston Villa

+22

15/1

Tottenham

+22

15/1

Brighton

+27

15/1

Nottingham Forest

+32

15/1

Bournemouth

+32

15/1

Crystal Palace

+33

15/1

Everton

+33

15/1

Fulham

+33

15/1

West Ham

+35

15/1

Brentford

+38

15/1

Wolves

+39

15/1

Leeds

+43

15/1

Burnley

+51

15/1

Sunderland

+52

15/1

Liverpool +0

Slight favourites for the title, all eyes will be on Arne Slot and his new-look Liverpool heading into the new season. The likes of Mohamed Salah and Virgil van Dijk have been tied down to new contracts, while Milos Kerkez and Jeremie Frimpong make up the new full-back pair, and that's before even addressing the signing of superstar Florian Wirtz.

Manchester City +3

Surely they can't be as bad as last season? Although Kevin De Bruyne departs, Rodri returns, and with a host of new arrivals, Pep Guardiola will hope to launch another title charge.

Arsenal +3

It feels like it's now or never for Mikel Arteta. A title there for the taking last season was let slip with the Gunners dropping points far too often. A new controlling midfielder in Martin Zubimendi arrives, as will a new goalscorer, and it feels like this might be Arsenal's best chance of ending their title drought.

Chelsea +12

Despite another gargantuan summer spending spree, Chelsea still don't look like title challengers, but they will at least hope to build on a promising first season under Enzo Maresca. While the Italian won't be able to field two different sides between European and domestic competition this season, they should be stronger for the new additions.

Newcastle +15

The last time Newcastle were in Europe they slid down the Premier League table, failing to qualify for European competition. Eddie Howe will hope to have learned from that experience with a stronger squad capable of competing on two fronts. They look to be keeping hold of their key players and some shrewd additions look to be heading to St James' Park.

Manchester United +21

Ruben Amorim desperately needs to turn things around quickly at Old Trafford. After a dismal debut season, new arrivals have come to allow the Portuguese to better shape his squad, and with no European distraction and a clear-out of deadwood, there will be no excuses for not returning Manchester United to Europe in 12 months' time.

Aston Villa +22

Aston Villa struggled to juggle their European and domestic commitments last season before rallying late in the season to secure a Europa League spot. It appears they might also be able to keep hold of their best players without falling foul of profit and sustainability rules and another top-five charge should be on the cards.

Tottenham +22

Tottenham have made a significant improvement in the dugout in the shape of Thomas Frank, but the club still look short of a few players to feel confident of maintaining a strong Premier League campaign while juggling the UEFA Champions League. Make those additions, however, and Spurs may well return to the UEFA Champions League next season.

Brighton +27

Perhaps the best of the rest, Brighton appear to be keeping their best players out of the hands of the bigger clubs while strengthening elsewhere. After a strong first season under Fabian Hurzeler, the Seagulls should consolidate their progress next term.

Nottingham Forest +32

Last season's handicap winners, Nottingham Forest avoided the expected relegation battle to mount an unlikely charge for the UEFA Champions League. Having to settle for a place in the UEFA Conference League, it will be interesting to see how Nuno Espirito Santo handles their European committments.

Bournemouth +32

They may have lost Milos Kerkez and Dean Huijsen with Ilya Zabarnyi expected to depart, but Bournemouth look well run enough to cope. The rest of the side looks largely in tact, and with Andoni Iraola at the helm, the Cherries can look forward to another fruitful season.

Crystal Palace +33

Progressing nicely under Oliver Glasner, there are a number of unknowns around Crystal Palace heading into the new season. Will Marc Guehi and Ebere Eze still be there? How will they handle European competition? Will this finally be the year Palace crack the Premier League's top half?

Everton +33

The return of David Moyes looks like a long overdue shrewd move on Merseyside, with Everton safely steered away from relegation under his stewardship. The Toffees need a number of reinforcements over the summer to avoid being dragged back into a relegation battle, however.

Fulham +33

One of Fulham's best moves in recent years was the appointment of Marco Silva. Despite losing the likes of Aleksandar Mitrovic, Tosin Adarabioyo and Joao Palhinha, the Portuguese has constantly rebuilt and reshaped his squad, taking punts on players unwanted elsewhere such as Alex Iwobi, Emile Smith Rowe and Andreas Pereira, while developing the likes of Antonee Robinson and Rodrigo Muniz.

West Ham +35

Not short of talent or financial backing, West Ham fans will have been a little concerned at the progress made under Graham Potter. The experiment with the reputable Julen Lopetegui backfired and Potter has yet to kick the side on. The Hammers do have a high ceiling, however, with the likes of Jarrod Bowen, Lucas Paqueta and Mohammed Kudus at Potter's disposal.

Brentford +38

It's not unfair to say that most of Brentford's Premier League success came thanks to Thomas Frank. Many thought the Bees would struggle in the absence of Ivan Toney, but he turned Yoane Wissa and Bryan Mbeumo into a deadly goalscoring duo. The Cameroonian's departure along with captain Christian Norgaard means new boss Keith Andrews has a sizeable task on his hands.

Wolves +39

The appointment of Vitor Pereira turned Wolves' season around, and while Matheus Cunha is a sizeable loss, Wolves played perfectly well in the Brazilian's absence last season, and there's little reason to think they'll be embroiled in a relegation battle this time around.

Leeds +43

Will Daniel Farke finally get a fair crack of the whip when it comes to trying to keep a team in the Premier League? Norwich showed little ambition but Leeds are certainly making a fist of it, and the Championship winners look best placed of the three newly promoted clubs.

Burnley +51

While his style of football won over few neutrals, perhaps Scott Parker's pragmatism is what will help keep Burnley in the Premier League. The expected departure of James Trafford will be a huge blow, however, and it's tough to make the case for the Clarets surviving.

Sunderland +52

While few expected Sunderland to go up last season, their dramatic play-off heroics earned them a long overdue return to the Premier League. Unfortunately, despite their summer investment, it looks like they'll lack the sufficient quality to stay there.

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