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2026 World Cup - Mexico Generic
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Mexico v England World Cup Prediction: El Tri 1/1 to send England packing

England take on World Cup co-hosts Mexico in the Round of 16 and James Milton has picked out his best bets for Monday's game.

Captain Harry Kane rescued England against DR Congo in the Round of 32, scoring two late goals to seal a tense 2-1 victory.

El Tri have made far smoother progress, winning all four of their World Cup matches without conceding a goal, and El Tri are aiming to make the most of home advantage in Mexico City.

Mexico v England Tips Summary

Best Bet - Mexico to qualify @ 1/1
Alternative Bet - Julian Quinones to score or assist @ 2/1
Bet Builder - Mexico or draw double chance, Under 1.5 first-half goals & Jude Bellingham to be booked @ 15/2

Mexico v England

Mexico v England Prediction

Best Bet: Mexico to qualify @ 1/1

Mexico have been eliminated in the round of 16 at seven of the last eight World Cups, but they have a great chance of clearing that hurdle against England.

The Three Lions started their campaign with an entertaining 4-2 win over Croatia, but their three subsequent performances were less convincing.

They were held to a 0-0 draw by Ghana on matchday two and needed two second-half goals to edge past Panama 2-0 in their final Group L game.

England were long odds-on to beat DR Congo in the round of 32 but they fell behind in the seventh minute.

Thomas Tuchel's men had to wait until the final 15 minutes for Kane's heroics to turn the tie around and playing Mexico in Mexico City looks like a tough task.

The tournament co-hosts have barely put a foot wrong on their way to the last 16.

They beat South Africa 2-0, South Korea 1-0 and Czech Republic 3-0 to win Group A, before brushing Ecuador aside 2-0 in the round of 32.

Ecuador, who had beaten Germany in their final group game and conceded only five goals in 18 South America qualifying matches, were expected to be testing opponents.

However, Mexico scored twice in the first 31 minutes and their defence restricted the South Americans to just one shot on target.

They look supremely confident in home conditions and should be backed to qualify against an England side who survived a huge scare in the round of 32.

Alternative Bet: Julian Quinones to score or assist @ 2/1

Mexico striker Julian Quinones had a modest international record at the start of this tournament, scoring only twice in 22 appearances.

However, he arrived at the World Cup in great form after pipping England's Ivan Toney to the Golden Boot in the Saudi Pro League.

Quinones scored 33 league goals for Al-Qadsiah in 2025/26 and his hot streak has continued for El Tri.

He notched the first goal of the tournament in the ninth minute against South Africa and was also on the scoresheet against Czech Republic on matchday three.

Quinones was named player of the match against Ecuador last time out after scoring his side's first goal and setting up the second for Wolves striker Raul Jimenez.

England did not concede a goal in any of their eight World Cup qualifiers, however, their defence has looked less secure at the finals and they could be unsettled by the in-form Quinones.

Mexico v England Bet Builder Tip

  • Mexico or draw double chance

  • Under 1.5 first-half goals

  • Jude Bellingham to be booked

    Pays 15/2

Mexico or draw double chance looks a solid Bet Builder selection.

The tournament co-hosts have won their first four matches to nil while England struggled to break down Ghana, Panama and DR Congo in their last three games.

England's last four goals at the tournament came in the 62nd, 67th, 75th and 86th minutes and there could be a cagey start to this last-16 tie. Back under 1.5 first-half goals.

Jude Bellingham may well be frustrated by a competitive Mexico midfield unit. He picked up two yellow cards in four starts during World Cup qualifying and was booked in the last-32 victory over DR Congo.

Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.

Key Match Stats

  • Mexico have won 10 of their last 12 internationals 

  • Julian Quinones has scored in three of his four games at the World Cup

  • Mexico won six of their last seven games to nil

  • Only one of England's last 10 matches produced over 3.5 goals

  • England have not been leading at half-time in any of their four World Cup matches

  • Harry Kane has scored 12 goals in his last eight appearances for Bayern Munich and England

Read more football betting tips and predictions on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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