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Italy v France
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Italy v France Prediction: Les Bleus set for 13/5 triumph in Milan

Zinedine Zidane has made a promising start to his career as France manager and his side travel to Milan to take on Italy in the Nations League on Thursday.

Zidane has won three of his first four matches since succeeding Didier Deschamps and the exception was last month's 1-1 home draw with Italy in Group A1.

The Azzurri have a point to prove after failing to qualify for the last three World Cups, while France lost 2-0 to Spain in the semi-finals of this summer's tournament.

France showcased their attacking threat against Belgium on matchday four, scoring four goals in the last 13 minutes to win 4-1, and they are clear favourites to beat Italy at San Siro.

Italy v France Tips Summary

Best Bet - France to win & both teams to score @ 13/5
Alternative Bet - Aurelien Tchouameni to be booked @
13/5
Bet Builder - France to win, Michael Olise to score & Pio Esposito 1+ shots on target @
11/2

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Italy v France

Italy v France Prediction

Best Bet: France to win & both teams to score @ 13/5

France have taken 10 points from a possible 12 in Nations League Group A1 and they should seal their quarter-final spot with a stylish win at San Siro.

Les Bleus were trading as World Cup favourites before the semi-finals, but they ran into an outstanding Spain team and lost 6-4 to England in a chaotic bronze-medal play-off.

France are missing the injured Ousmane Dembele, but they can welcome back captain Kylian Mbappe, who scored 10 goals in eight matches at the World Cup.

Mbappe suffered a knee injury after scoring the winner against Turkey on matchday one and his return is a major boost for Les Bleus.

France to win and both teams to score looks a solid bet in Milan as they had eight shots on target to Italy's two in last month's 1-1 draw in Paris.

Mbappe gives them a cutting edge up front, but France's defence is depleted by injuries to Arsenal's William Saliba, Chelsea's Maxence Lacroix and Barcelona's Jules Kounde.

Italy reappointed Euro 2020-winning manager Roberto Mancini after their failure to qualify for this year's World Cup.

Mancini oversaw 4-1 and 3-1 Nations League victories over troubled Turkey, but Italy also lost 2-0 at home to Belgium and they could be outclassed by France's forwards.

Alternative Bet: Aurelien Tchouameni to be booked @ 13/5

The midfield battle in Milan should be fascinating and France's Aurelien Tchouameni is well worth backing to pick up a card.

The tough-tackling Tchouameni was booked in two of his last five league appearances for Real Madrid, including last month's 2-1 win at Barcelona in El Clasico.

He missed France's first four Nations League games due to injury but received 12 yellow cards for club and country last season and was sent off against Iceland in a World Cup qualifier in September 2025.

Italy v France Bet Builder Tip

  • France to win

  • Michael Olise to score

  • Pio Esposito 1+ shots on target


    Pays @
    11/2

France were frustrated by Italy in October's 1-1 draw in Paris, but they have won their other three matches under Zinedine Zidane, including a 4-1 rout of Belgium last time out.

Michael Olise scored four goals in France's last three Nations League matches, despite coming on as a late substitute in two of them. The prolific winger has also found the net 12 times in 15 appearances for Bayern Munich this season.

Italy striker Pio Esposito scored in the home and away wins over Turkey and struck in his last two outings for Inter. He averages 1.4 shots on target per 90 minutes in Serie A this season. 

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Key Match Stats

  • Italy have kept only one clean sheet in their last seven competitive internationals

  • There were over 2.5 goals in nine of Italy's last 12 Nations League matches

  • Striker Pio Esposito has scored seven goals in 13 appearances for the Azzurri 

  • France kept a clean sheet in five of their last six victories

  • Les Bleus have picked up only 11 cards in their last 12 matches

  • Michael Olise has contributed four goals and two assists in just 212 minutes of Nations League playing time

Read more football betting tips and predictions on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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