UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa Prediction & Best Bets

While the glamour MMA event of the weekend belongs to MVP and Netflix, the UFC showcases a battle between two top-15 featherweights, Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa.

The UFC event will take place on Saturday, May 16 at the Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States.

The fights will begin at 5 PM ET with the Early Preliminary Card, followed by the Preliminary Card at 7 PM ET and the Main Card at 9 PM ET.

Our article will give you our two best bets for the main event, as well as the current moneyline odds for UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa.

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa betting picks and predictions

Arnold Allen to win (-125)

Arnold Allen (20-4-0) looks good value to protect his position against rising star Melquizael Costa (26-7-0).

Allen brings a measured approach to the Octagon that has seen him become a mainstay of the top 10 of the featherweight division for some time.

The Englishman's only defeats have come to former champion Max Holloway, number one contender Mosvar Evloev and the fierce Jean Silva.

Outside of the elite, Allen has used his strong all-round game and fight IQ to good effect in wins over Giga Chikadze, Calvin Kattar and Dan Hooker.

After losing two of his first three UFC fights, Costa is now riding a seven-fight win streak, capped with a career best spinning back kick TKO stoppage of Dan Ige last time out in February.

The Brazilian is big for the division and brings a powerful kicking game, but Allen has the wherewithal to ride the early storm before he can take over later in the contest.

Over 3.5 rounds (-200)

Costa brings real momentum and finishing potential but remains untested at the top level.

In his 33-fight pro career, the 29-year-old has yet to be booked over championship distance, while the wily Allen has already been through five-round prep and elite featherweight pace.

The 32-year-old is the cleaner technician and is able to rack up rounds without getting drawn into a wild, fire-fight with Costa.

UFC 327: UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa odds

	Arnold Allen	Melquizael Costa
Moneyline	-125	-105
By Decision or Technical Decision	+180	+270
By KO, TKO or DQ	+375	+575
By Submission	+1800	+600

Total Rounds	Over	Under
1.5	-550	+375
2.5	-290	+220
3.5	-200	+155
4.5	-160	+125

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.