Odds to Win the 2026 World Cup before the Semifinals

Charlie Zschau Updated: 2 hours ago

The 2026 World Cup has reached the semifinals, let's look at which teams have the best odds of winning it all.

Lionel Messi and Argentina won the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, and will look to become just the third country to win back-to-back World Cup's in the history of the competition, and the first since Brazil did it in 1958 and 1962.

Argentina face England in their semifinal match on Wednesday, July 15th, following France vs. Spain on Tuesday.

With four teams remaining, it's official that no team will win the world Cup for the first time, since Argentina (4), France (2), Spain (1), and England (1) have all won the World Cup before.

Odds to Win the 2026 World Cup

France	+137
Spain	+333
Argentina	+333
England	+450

France +137

France have been the favorites to win the 2026 World Cup since the start of the tournament, and for good reason. France have been unbeatable through six games, and Kylian Mbappe and Michael Olise are carving up opposing defenses with ease,

Didier Deschampes has the attacking depth of Ousmane Dembele, Bradley Barcola Desire Doue, Rayan Cherki in addition Mbappe and Olise to pick from up in his front three, making up one of the most threating forward lines in the sport.

Mbappe (eight goals, three assists) has been excellent so far in the tournament, but has also been well complimented by 2025 Ballon d'Or winner Ousmane Dembele (five goals, two assists) and Michael Olise (zero goals, five assists).

France have reached two consecutive World Cup Finals, and it would be no surprise to see them there again in 2026. The question around this team is whether they'll be able to look as good against team like Spain or Argentina who can really challenge them in the midfield.

Spain +333

Spain has the second best odds to win the World Cup this year. Spain has one one World Cup (2010) in their history, and now have a great opportunity to win their second in 2026.

This Spanish team has incredible talent in all areas of the pitch. 18-year-old Lamine Yamal can carve up defenses on the right wing, while Nico Williams can do the same on the left when healthy. Pedri, Rodri, Dani Olmo, Mikel Merino, and Martin Zubimendi make up Spain's composed midfield depth, an aspect any team needs to make a deep run in the tournament.

Spain are the only team that has not been carried by their star players, but have been one of the best squad as a collective throughout the tournament. Goalkeeper Unai Simon has only conceded one goal the entire tournament, a testament to the defenders in front of him.

England +333

England is looking to win their first World Cup trophy since 1966, but coach Thomas Tuchel will have to make history for that to happen. No foreign manager has ever won a World Cup, but the German manager is an elite tactician it knockout tournaments.

England has endless talent all over the field, but choosing the right lineups game to game will be key for the Tuchel. Harry Kane is always reliable up front, but how the players around him play will dictate how far England can go in the tournament.

England has scored 13 goals thus far in the World Cup, and 12 of them have come from either Jude Bellingham (six goals) or Harry Kane (six goals).

Argentina +450

2022 World Cup Champions Argentina are again riding on the back of the legendary Lionel Messi. Messi is shattering World Cup records the more games he plays, but no nation has managed to win back-to-back World Cups since Brazil did so in 1958 and 1962.

Argentina was dragged to the semis by the legendary Lionel Messi who's scored eight goals and added two assists in six games. The only player with more goal contributions in the World Cup is Mbappe.

Argentina have had close calls against Cape Verde, Egypt and Switzerland thus far in the knockout stages, but could overcome the adversity and make another storybook run to the World Cup finals.