Canada head to Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera in Guatemala City on Friday night for the first leg of their CONCACAF Nations League quarterfinal tie.
Guatemala vs. Canada betting picks and predictions
Under 2.5 goals (-106)
Canada won 1-0 when these two teams met in January, but this is their first competitive encounter since the 2025 Gold Cup.
That tournament was a key part of Canada’s World Cup preparations, and they made a strong start by winning their group. However, Jesse Marsch’s side were shocked by Guatemala in the quarterfinals, losing on penalties after a 1-1 draw.
Los Chapines also held Canada at bay at the 2023 Gold Cup, and the previous four meetings between these two have featured only four goals in total.
Guatemala conceded three times in four matches in the previous round of the Nations League, pipping Jamaica to top spot in their six-team pool. They were able to keep clean sheets in home victories over El Salvador and Suriname, and they should approach this clash with a defensive focus.
Under 2.5 goals has landed in 13 of Canada’s last 17 international matches, and they could be in for another frustrating clash with Guatemala.
Tie (+375)
Canada beat Guatemala in Fort Lauderdale in 2015, and they won this year’s friendly encounter in Los Angeles. They should be confident of getting a positive result in Monday’s second leg in Toronto, but Marsch’s men could have work to do in this reverse meeting.
Guatemala’s two Gold Cup displays against Canada suggest they can cause some problems on home soil. Across those two tournament games, Canada generated only two big chances, shots that counted for 0.3 Expected Goals or higher.
Marsch’s side scored from the penalty spot in their clash at U.S. Bank Stadium last year, and the hosts could restrict their opportunities once again.
Los Chapines lost only three of their 10 matches in World Cup qualification, and they have found some success in the Nations League.
After holding Canada level in back-to-back competitive meetings, back the first leg to finish as a tie at +375.
Correct Score 1-1 (+800)
With a low-scoring tie expected, 1-1 holds some appeal in the correct score betting. Guatemala were able to find the net in four of their five matches at the 2025 Gold Cup, including a 2-1 defeat to the United States.
Los Chapines have scored 12 times in their last four home matches, so it’s worth ruling out a goalless draw as a correct score option in this clash.
Marsch’s side shared two 1-1 draws in last year’s Gold Cup, including their knockout meeting with Guatemala. Since June, Canada have shared two 1-1 draws across nine matches.
No side has scored more than once in any of the previous four meetings between these two teams, so look to Friday’s clash to finish 1-1 at +800.
Oscar Santis to score anytime (+375)
Oscar Santis is Guatemala’s highest-scoring active player, and he has caught the eye in the anytime goalscorer market at +375.
The forward, known as Lelito, has scored 20 goals in 59 caps for his country, which is the nation’s fifth-highest tally of all-time. He also provided the assist when these two sides met in the Gold Cup last year.
Lelito scored seven of his international strikes in 16 matches last year, and scored a brace against Jamaica in a Nations League encounter back in September.
Santis is well-priced to add to his international tally on Friday, while you can get combined odds of +3300 for him to score anytime in a 1-1 draw.
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Guatemala vs. Canada odds
Guatemala | +400 |
Tie | +375 |
Canada | -188 |
Guatemala vs. Canada player props
Anytime goalscorer
Jonathan David (Canada) | +125 |
Promise David (Canada) | +160 |
Jacen Russell-Rowe (Canada) | +175 |
Tani Oluwaseyi (Canada) | +175 |
Daniel Jebbison (Canada) | +210 |
Oscar Santis (Guatemala) | +375 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
