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Tatjana Maria v Madison Keys Prediction, Tips and Bet Builder

The WTA Eastbourne Open final takes place on Saturday when Tatjana Maria goes up against two-time champion Madison Keys at Devonshire Park LTC.

This is Maria's first appearance in the Eastbourne showpiece and she has accounted for the first and third seeds to reach this stage.

As for Keys, she is no stranger to this venue and this will be her third final in East Sussex, having claimed the spoils in 2014 and 2023.

Tatjana Maria v Madison Keys Tips Summary

Best Bet - Tatjana Maria to win @ 3/1
Alternative Bet - Madison Keys 3+ double faults @
1/2
Bet Builder - Exactly 3 sets, Tatjana Maria 5+ aces & Over 0.5 tie breaks @
7/1

Tatjana Maria v Madison Keys

Tatjana Maria v Madison Keys Prediction

Best Bet: Tatjana Maria to win @ 3/1

This final will be a battle between two experienced heads, with 38-year-old Maria taking on 31-year-old Keys, and these two established professionals can put on a show.

Keys won her maiden WTA Tour title at Eastbourne in 2014, overcoming Angelique Kerber, before lifting the trophy for a second time nine years later when besting Daria Kasatkina.

The 2025 Australian Open champion has reached three grass-court finals at this level and boasts a perfect 3-0 record, having also won the 2016 Birmingham Classic.

Her run to this year's Eastbourne final has been soft, with just one seeded player faced, and there is a suggestion she could be slightly undercooked when facing Maria.

Turning 39 in just a couple of months, Maria is showing that age is just a number and she won the 2025 Queen's Club Championships, beating Amanda Anisimova 6-3 6-4.

The German came up against Keys in the semi-finals in West Kensington and she produced a brilliant performance to win in straight-sets, recording a 6-3 7-6 success.

Maria has a 100% record in WTA Tour finals on grass, having also won the 2018 Mallorca Open, and she has pulled off some big upsets at Eastbourne.

Dispatching top seed Jasmine Paolini in round one, Maria also accounted for third seed Jelena Ostapenko in the semi-final, taking the first set 6-1 before her opponent retired when leading 2-1 in the second.

Keys also witnessed her last-four opponent, Petra Marcinko, retire after losing the first set 6-1, which means these two should be fit and raring to go for this final.

While Keys has plenty of fond memories to fall back on at Eastbourne, Maria has been excellent in reaching the final and she can put in one more big effort.

Alternative Bet: Madison Keys 3+ double faults @ 1/2

Keys is a strong server, capable of sending down plenty of aces, but she is also susceptible to making double faults and it is worth backing her to make at least three in this match.

From the 2026 Australian Open until the start of Eastbourne, the American had racked up 91 doubles in 26 matches, an average of 3.5 per contest.

In this high-pressure situation, Keys may strive for that little bit extra on her serve and it would be no surprise to see her make some errors.

Tatjana Maria v Madison Keys Bet Builder Tip

  • Exactly 3 sets

  • Tatjana Maria 5+ aces

  • Over 0.5 tie breaks

    Pays 7/1

This could turn out to be a tight battle between two experienced players and they are likely to require three sets to determine a winner.

In four matches at Eastbourne, Maria has sent down eight, seven, eight and three aces, with the last encounter being cut short due to an injury to her opponent.

There was a tie break in the first set when these two last met at Queen's in 2025 and it would be no surprise to see another in this clash.

Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.

Key Match Stats

  • Tatjana Maria has not dropped a set en route to the final

  • The German has knocked out the first and third seeds along the way

  • Madison Keys is also yet to drop a set at the tournament

  • The American defeated seventh seed McCartney Kessler in the quarter-finals

  • Both players were awarded walkovers in the semi-finals after their opponents retired during the contest

  • This will be the fifth meeting between the pair, with Keys leading the head-to-head 3-1

  • Maria won the most recent encounter in the semi-finals at Queens in 2025

Read more tennis betting tips and predictions on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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