Skip to content
News bet365 Sports & Betting News Join
Football Generic
  1. FOOTBALL
  2. FOOTBALL TIPS

PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar Prediction: 7/4 Mijnans can haunt former club

PSV Eindhoven are aiming to retain the Johan Cruyff Shield when they take on Dutch Cup winners AZ Alkmaar on Sunday.

PSV’s domestic dominance has seen them win four of the last five Dutch Super Cups, and they are aiming for further glory in the season curtain-raiser.

Recent years have served up some thrilling encounters in the Johan Cruyff Shield, with PSV’s only defeat coming on penalties in 2024 after a 4-4 draw with Feyenoord. With AZ approaching this one in scoring form, more goals should be on the cards this weekend.

PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar Tips Summary

Best Bet - Over 3.5 goals @ 5/6
Alternative Bet - Sven Mijnans to score anytime @
7/4
Bet Builder - PSV to win from behind and over 4 goals @
17/2

PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar

PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Best Bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 5/6

There have been 24 goals scored across the last five Dutch Super Cup showdowns, and PSV are responsible for 16 of those goals.

The Eredivisie champions, who are hosting the game at Philips Stadion, scored 58 times across their 17 home matches last season. They also managed only two clean sheets in those games, so we can expect goals for both sides on Sunday.

AZ ended last season with a 3-3 draw with NAC Breda, and their warm-up clashes ahead of the new campaign have also been high scoring. Alkmaar have conceded in three of their four friendly matches, with 17 goals scored in total.

PSV have scored 20 goals in their last six meetings with AZ, but they haven’t managed a clean sheet against them since December 2023. With both sides coming off the back of high-scoring pre-season campaigns, back more goals in Sunday’s encounter.

Alternative Bet: Sven Mijnans to score anytime @ 7/4

PSV’s summer move for AZ’s Sven Mijnans adds an extra edge to Sunday’s encounter. The midfielder struck 17 goals across all competitions last season, only two behind AZ’s top scorer, Troy Parrott.

Mijnans is PSV’s big summer purchase, having cashed in on Morocco’s World Cup star Ismael Saibari. They will need to replace the 15 Eredivisie goals he scored last season after his big-money switch to Bayern Munich, but Mijnans should bring extra threat from midfield.

The midfielder finished last term with nine goals in his final 15 appearances, and he could make his mark for his new side on Sunday.

Mijnans had two attempts playing as a number 10 in PSV’s friendly loss to Villarreal last month, and he can add to an impressive goal return in 2026 with a strike against his old club.

PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar Bet Builder Tip

  • PSV to win from behind
  • Over 4 goals

    Pays
    17/2

Given the high-scoring contests this competition has seen in recent years, we could be in for a back-and-forth game.

AZ took a first-half lead at this ground when these two sides met in March, before PSV ran out 2-1 winners on that occasion.

PSV have trailed in three of the last four editions of the Johan Cruyff Shield, finding themselves 1-0 down at half-time to Go Ahead Eagles a year ago. With AZ approaching the match in fine scoring form, they could strike first on Sunday.

However, PSV’s forward line has been hard to stop since Peter Bosz took charge. They have got a fantastic attacking return in recent clashes with AZ, so back PSV to come from behind to win, with five or more goals scored in the match.

Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.

Key Match Stats

  • PSV have lifted this trophy in four of the last five seasons.
  • The last five Johan Cruyff Shield matches have featured a total of 24 goals.
  • PSV averaged 3.41 goals per game at home in the Eredivisie last term.
  • However, the champions conceded in 15 of their 17 home league matches.
  • PSV have scored 20 times in their previous six meetings with AZ.
  • Sven Mijnans scored 17 goals for AZ last season before securing a move to PSV last month.
  • PSV have trailed at some stage in three of the last four editions of the Dutch Super Cup.

Read more football betting tips and predictions on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

Set as a Google Preferred Source

Related Articles

bet365 uses cookies

We use cookies to deliver a better and more personalised service. For more information, see our Cookie Policy

New to bet365? Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets Join Now

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.