Germany face Paraguay in Boston for a place in the round of 32 at the World Cup on Monday evening.
The Germans won their group but suffered a 2-1 defeat to Ecuador in their final game and that was their fourth group stage loss since the 2018 World Cup.
Paraguay opened up with a 4-1 loss to co-hosts USA in their first game, but battled back to finish third in Group D following a 1-0 win over Turkey and a goalless with Australia.
The winner of this clash will face either France or Sweden in the last 16.
Germany v Paraguay Tips Summary
Best Bet - Over 2.5 goals @ 8/11
Alternative Bet - Deniz Undav to score anytime @ Evens
Bet Builder - Germany to win, Leroy Sane 1+ shot on target & Juan Caceres to be booked @ 15/2
Germany v Paraguay Prediction
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 8/11
Germany's three group stage matches produced a combined total of 14 goals, with the Germans scoring 10 of those.
Remarkably, three or more goals have been scored in Germany's previous eight international matches and Julian Nagelsmann's side have only kept two clean sheets during that period, offering hope that Paraguay can get on the scoresheet.
Five of La Albirroja's last eight matches has seen three or more goals being scored, although their previous two matches at the World Cup have finished 1-0 and 0-0.
Germany will be eager to get off to a good start and they have scored within the first 10 minutes in two of their three games so far.
Expect there to be plenty of goals in this clash.
Alternative Bet: Deniz Undav to score anytime @ Evens
Deniz Undav has yet to start a game for Germany at the World Cup, yet the forward has scored three goals and registered two assists through the group stage.
With Kai Havertz ineffective against Ecuador last time out, is it time Nagelsmann finally drops the Arsenal player in favour of Undav?
The 29-year-old finished the club season with 25 goals across 46 matches for Stuttgart, while his strike rate for the national team is similarly impressive.
In just 12 games for Germany, Undav has scored nine goals, while also providing four assists and there is no doubting his attacking influence when in the team.
As such, he could be given a start by Nagelsmann in Boston in a bid to fire Germany into the last 16.
Germany v Paraguay Bet Builder Tip
Germany to win
Leroy Sane 1+ shot on target
Juan Caceres to be booked
Pays 15/2
Despite an excellent record at the World Cup, this will be the first knockout stage match Germany have played since they won the 2014 final.
Group-stage exits in both 2018 and 2022 were dismal to say the least, but under Nagelsmann there is hope a deep run at the tournament is on the cards.
Defensively, they must improve entering this clash, which could give Paraguay some encouragement, However, prior to that defeat to Ecuador, Germanys last defeat came back in September 2025 to Slovakia.
Given what is at stake in Boston, expect the Germans to win in normal time and set up a potential blockbuster tie with France.
Leroy Sane opened the scoring against Ecuador with a nice finish and he managed two shots on target in total during that game.
He will likely be deployed wide on the right once again and he could cause plenty of problems for La Albirroja's defence.
Paraguayan defender Juan Caceres will be tasked with keeping the likes of Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala quiet.
He was booked against the USA in the opening game and he could well fall foul of the referee once again considering who he is up against.
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Key Match Stats
This will be Germany's first World Cup knockout game since they won the 2014 final
Paraguay last reached the knockout stages at the 2010 World Cup
Germany defeated Paraguay 1-0 at the 2002 World Cup
Deniz Undav scored three goals during the group stages
Paraguay have won just two of their last eight World Cup matches
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
