Another intriguing UFC event is scheduled for this weekend, that being UFC Fight Night 280.
UFC Fight Night 280 is scheduled for Saturday, June 26 and is being held at the National Gymnastics Arena in Baku, Azerbaijan.
The event consists of 13 fights across the Main and Preliminary Cards and features a Main Event in the UFC Lightweight division between Rafael Fiziev and Manuel Torres.
UFC Fight Night 280 begins at 9:00 AM ET with the Preliminary Card and will be followed by the Main Card at approximately 12:00 PM ET - this event will be available to stream on Paramount+.
Our article will focus on breaking down the Main Event between Fiziev and Torres by providing you with our two best bets for the fight.
Additionally, we will also include the current odds for Fiziev and Torres.
Fiziev vs. Torres betting picks and predictions
Manuel Torres ML (-105)
Our top pick for this fight between Fiziev and Torres targets the latter to win.
Torres enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-3 and 6-1 in the UFC. His most recent fight was a win against Grant Dawson by KO/TKO back in December 2025.
With that win, Torres has now won two UFC fights in a row and is ranked 15th in the Lightweight division.
What has made Torres so successful in the UFC is the amount of balance he has shown. Torres is averaging 7.29 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 59%.
In terms of his grappling ability, Torres is averaging 1.72 takedowns every 15 minutes, has a takedown accuracy of 66%, and a takedown defense of 90%.
As for Fiziev, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-5 and 7-5 in the UFC. Fiziev’s most recent UFC fight was a loss against Mauricio Ruffy by KO/TKO back in January 2026.
With this loss, Fiziev has now lost four of his last five UFC fights.
Aside from his current losing streak, Fiziev has mainly been a striker in the UFC, averaging 4.71 significant strikes per minute and he has a striking accuracy of 52%.
His grappling; however, is not nearly as strong, averaging just 0.83 takedowns every 15 minutes. Fiziev also has a takedown accuracy of 66% and a takedown defense of 90%.
Fiziev is actually the small favorite in this fight, however, Torres appears to be the best betting option.
Not only is Torres in better form compared to Fiziev, but he also has a significant advantage in both striking volume and grappling.
Given this, backing Torres to win at -105 is our best bet for Saturday's Main Event.
Over 1.5 total rounds (-130)
To go along with our best bet for Torres to win, we also like this fight to go over 1.5 total rounds.
This specifically goes back to Fiziev, as he has seen nine of his 12 career UFC fights go over 1.5 total rounds and this includes seven of his last eight fights.
Torres, on the other hand, has seen all seven of his UFC fights end in the first round. Despite this, Fiziev does not often lose by finish and, even when he does, it tends to be at least halfway through a fight.
Torres certainly has the ability to end this fight early, but given that Fiziev has consistently been able to survive until the later rounds of his fights, backing over 1.5 total rounds at -130 is our play.
Fiziev vs. Torres odds
Rafael Fiziev | Manuel Torres | |
Moneyline | -115 | -105 |
By Decision or Technical Decision | +525 | +1200 |
By KO, TKO or DQ | -+160 | +140 |
By Submission | +1550 | +1100 |
Total Rounds | Over | Under |
1.5 | -130 | +100 |
2.5 | +150 | -190 |
3.5 | +225 | -300 |
4.5 | +300 | -425 |
Fight To Go The Distance | Yes | No |
+350 | -500 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
