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Toluca vs. Tigres Concacaf Champions Cup Final Prediction & Best Bets

Mexican rivals Toluca and Tigres face off in the CONCACF Champions Cup final at the Estadio Nemesio Diez in what promises to be an enthralling match.

It has been 23 years since Toluca last won the Champions Cup, finishing as runner-up in both 2006 and 2014.

Tigres last won the title in 2020, although they have finished runners-up on no fewer than three times across the previous decade.

Both sides swatted aside MLS outfits in the semi-finals to set up this all-Mexican affair.

Toluca vs. Tigres betting picks and predictions

Both teams to score (-138)

Although the last meeting between the sides finished goalless back in January, two of the previous three games prior to that saw both teams scoring.

In 10 of Toluca's 17 Clausura fixtures from January to the end of April, both teams found the back of the net.

For Tigres, this bet would have landed in 11 of their 17 fixtures across the same period and given both are eyeing a second Champions Cup title this weekend, there should be plenty of chances at either end of the pitch.

Each team scored 28 league goals during the Clausura, while Toluca conceded 16 times, compared to the 18 goals Tigres shipped across 17 matches.

Toluca to lift the trophy (-225)

Toluca have enjoyed plenty of success recently. Not only did they win the Clausura in 2025, but they followed that up by winning the Apertura just months later.

Even more importantly, however, is that Toluca defeated Tigres during the latter competition.

Despite losing the first leg of the final 1-0 to their opponents, Toluca claimed a 2-1 victory in the second leg and eventually won the penalty shootout.

This should give Toluca the psychological edge ahead of this final, despite having not lifted the Champions Cup in over 20 years.

Toluca did lose 3-0 on aggregate to Pachuca to miss out on a chance to defend their Clausura title, yet there was a 4-0 win over Los Angeles FC sandwiched in between those defeats which sent the Mexican side into the final of this competition.

Tigres also lost their last game, suffering a 2-0 defeat to Guadalajara that ended their hopes of winning the Clausura.

Given Toluca are aiming for a third trophy in the space of 12 months, backing them to lift the Champions Cup is a smart bet.

Paulinho to score first (+333)

Toluca will be depending on Paulinho to be the difference during this Champions Cup final.

The 33-year-old has scored eight goals in the competition across just six appearances. Two of those came in the 4-0 thrashing of Los Angeles in the second leg of the semi-final.

Overall, the centre-forward has an impressive 29 goals from 40 matches this season for Toluca.

There is plenty of value to be had by backing him to score first during the final as his club chase another major trophy.

Read more betting picks and predictions for soccer on site.

Toluca vs. Tigres odds

Toluca

-118

Tie

+260

Tigres

+300

Toluca vs. Tigres player props

Anytime goalscorer

Paulinho (Toluca)

-110

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

+140

Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca)

+175

Franco Rossi (Toluca)

+187

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

+187

Angel Correa (Tigres)

+200

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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