The Philadelphia Phillies head to LoanDepot Park on Monday evening to open a three-game National League East series against the Miami Marlins.
The Phillies come into this one after snapping a four-game losing streak with an 11-4 win over the New York Yankees on Sunday Night Baseball. Meanwhile, the Marlins have dropped 12 games in a row and are quickly falling out of the playoff hunt.
Philadelphia is 5.5 games behind the Atlanta Braves in the NL East, but they currently own one of the Wild Card spots. Miami continues to navigate a retooling campaign, sitting near the bottom of the NL East and relying on their home crowd to stay competitive in divisional matchups.
The pitching matchup on Monday favors the visitors, as the Phillies send ace right-hander Zack Wheeler to the mound, while the Marlins counter with Tyler Phillips and a rotational staff aiming to keep a potent Philadelphia lineup in check.
First pitch at LoanDepot Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Here are our picks for Phillies vs. Marlins tonight.
Phillies vs. Marlins betting picks & predictions
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-110)
The starting pitching edge swings decisively toward Philadelphia in Monday's series opener. Zack Wheeler has been the anchor of the Phillies' rotation, and he currently has the second-shortest odds to win the NL Cy Young Award. Wheeler has a 2.16 ERA in 16 starts this season, and he’s recorded 43 punchouts in his last four starts.
On the flip side, Tyler Phillips will start on the bump for Miami. The former reliever turned starter has pitched at least 4 innings in 8 of his last 10 outings, but he’s struggled immensely. Phillips owns a respectable 3.52 ERA, but that number has ballooned from his previous mark of 1.86 at the start of June.
Philadelphia’s lineup features elite power at the top of the order with Bryce Harper, Trea Turner and Kyle Schwarber, giving them a heavy advantage over a Miami pitching staff that has struggled to suppress extra-base hits in high-leverage spots.
While LoanDepot Park historically favors pitchers, the depth of Philadelphia's lineup, combined with Wheeler's ability to shut down opponents' run-manufacturing, makes the Phillies the strong side.
Philadelphia is 13-3 in Wheeler’s 16 starts this season, and 10 of those wins have come by 2+ runs.
Meanwhile, the Marlins are in complete free fall and have gone just 4-6 in Phillips’ 10 starts this season. Four of those six defeats have come by 2+ runs, so it’s worth backing Philadelphia on the run line instead of eating the juice on the money line.
Expect the Marlins to keep struggling, as Philadelphia cruises to victory.
Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run (+440)
Bryce Harper remains one of the premier power threats in the National League, making his home run prop an attractive mark targeting Miami's pitching staff. The Phillies slugger has 21 homers this season, but he’s only gone yard once in July. This feels like a perfect spot to get hot.
Harper has traditionally excelled in divisional road venues, and his underlying power metrics, including exit velocity and hard-hit percentage, remain near the top of the league.
Against right-handed pitching and a Marlins bullpen that ranks near the bottom third in ERA, Harper is well-positioned to drive one out of the park even if he doesn’t do it early against Phillips.
Read more betting picks and predictions for the MLB on site.
Phillies vs. Marlins odds
Philadelphia Phillies | -190 |
Miami Marlins | +160 |
Run Line | PHI Phillies -1.5 |
Total Runs | O/U 7.5 |
Phillies vs. Marlins player props
Player Home Run odds
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | +220 |
Bryce Harper (PHI) | +450 |
Kyle Stowers (MIA) | +450 |
Brandon Marsh (PHI) | +650 |
Griffin Conine (MIA) | +700 |
Heriberto Hernandez (MIA) | +700 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
