Guadalajara has already qualified for the Liga MX Apertura quarterfinals and is looking for a fourth straight victory when they head to Leon on Sunday evening.
Leon starts the day a place outside the playoffs and their form has dropped since finishing third in the Leagues Cup. The Green Bellies have won only one of their last five games, losing 2-1 to Cruz Azul last Sunday.
After finishing only 10th in the Clausura, they are in danger of missing the quarterfinals, with only this game and a trip to Santos Laguna the other side of the international break left.
Guadalajara was second in the Clausura yet fell in the semifinals. They head east in great form, but may rotate to keep players fresh with a Liga MX postseason already guaranteed.
Leon vs. Chivas betting picks and predictions
Leon ML (+250)
Leon's form has dropped off at the wrong time. That's not good news against a team that has won three straight and is unbeaten in five.
However, recent history suits the home side when these clubs meet. Leon has won the last two meetings played in Guanajuato, both by a single goal. They won 2-1 in January 2025 and then 1-0 six months later.
Chivas were 5-0 winners when these teams met in Zapopan in March and they haven't lost away from home in Liga MX since May.
Gabriel Milito's team has the league's best defensive record, but the Argentine coach may look to rest some key players to keep them fresh heading into the international break and beyond.
Therefore, it might come down to who needs the result more. Look at the league ladder and it is clear Leon requires the victory and can continue their recent strong home record when facing this opponent with a victory on Sunday.
Total Goals - Over 2.5 & Both Teams to Score (-105)
Of Leon's last seven games, six have seen both teams score. Their penultimate home fixture was a 5-3 defeat to Club America, while their last home match was a 1-1 draw with Toluca, featuring 30 shots.
Sunday looks set to be an open game against a Chivas team that won 4-2 last Saturday against Atlante.
The visitors' strong defense could be compromised by rotation and an open game is forecast.
Leon's last four wins over Chivas have been by a single goal, adding other betting options, with a home win by one strike +450 and a 2-1 home win +1100.
Alfonso Alvarado anytime goalscorer (+175)
Alfonso Alvarado scored Leon's goal in their defeat at Cruz Azul, his sixth goal of the season and all have come since August 29.
Alvarado also scored his team's goal in their last home game, that 1-1 with Toluca, and his six-goal tally makes him his club's top scorer on the season.
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Leon vs. Chivas odds
Leon | +230 |
Tie | +250 |
Chivas | +110 |
Leon vs. Chivas player props
Anytime goalscorer
Diber Cambindo (Chivas) | +160 |
Roberto Alvarado (Leon) | +175 |
Ricardo Marin (Leon) | +175 |
Ismael Diaz (Chivas) | +188 |
Daniel Arcila (Chivas) | +188 |
Brian Gutierrez (Leon) | +300 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
