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Toulouse v Racing 92 Prediction, Tips and Bet Builder

The 2025/26 Top 14 season has reached the play-off semi-finals, with the first of two games taking place at Marseille's Stade Velodrome this week, seeing Toulouse face Racing 92 on Friday evening.

Racing 92 pulled off a sensational away victory at Pau in the semi-final qualifiers to reach the last four.

Whether Racing can go to the well again on Friday to pull off what would be another shock result against Toulouse remains to be seen.

Toulouse v Racing 92 Tips Summary

Best Bet - Toulouse -10.5 handicap @ 10/11
Alternative Bet - Over 56.5 total points @
5/6
Bet Builder - Toulouse to win, Toulouse first to 10 points & Toulouse to win both halves @
8/5

Toulouse v Racing 92

Toulouse v Racing 92 Prediction

Best Bet: Toulouse -10.5 handicap @ 10/11

Finishing top of the table at the end of the regular season, with 18 wins in their 26 games, Toulouse have been the standout team in the Top 14 this term.

Ending up on 86 points, Toulouse finished 12 points better off than Racing 92, with the Parisian outfit having to settle for fifth place in the standings.

With top spot in the table assured, there was little riding on Toulouse's 31-20 defeat at Racing 92 in their last game of the regular season.

Racing had to throw everything they had at that game and their win on the road at Pau.

Friday's game might just be a bridge too far for Racing and Toulouse to win and cover the spread gets the thumbs up here.

Alternative Bet: Over 56.5 total points @ 5/6

Toulouse have been unplayable at times this season and the table at the end of the regular campaign shows just that.

In their 26 games, Toulouse scored 134 tries, while notching up 981 points in total.

Scoring an average of 37.7 points per game, it's little wonder Toulouse finished at the summit of the standings.

Going for the over on 56.5 total points would have landed in two of the last three games between Toulouse and Racing 92 and it's backed to come in again on Friday in Marseille.

Toulouse v Racing 92 Bet Builder Tip

  • Toulouse to win

  • Toulouse first to 10 points

  • Toulouse to win both halves


    Pays 8/5

Toulouse have already been backed for the win, while Le Stade are also tipped to win the race to 10 points on Friday.

The last time Toulouse played a full-strength side against Racing, Les Rouge et Noir were the first side to reach 10 points by the 33rd minute.

Also going on to win both halves in that match to win 48-24, Toulouse are tipped to do the same again to complete this three-fold bet builder.

Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.

Key Match Stats

  • Toulouse averaged 37.7 points per game during the Top 14 regular season

  • Toulouse scored 134 tries during the regular season, 21 more than their nearest rival

  • Racing conceded 91 tries during the regular season, more than any other team in the top eight

  • Toulouse have won eight of their last 10 matches against Racing

  • Racing are on a four-game winning streak going into Friday's game

Read more rugby union betting tips and predictions on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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