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Keir Starmer exit date odds

Take a look at the latest odds for the year of Keir Starmer's exit as prime minister.

Starmer was as short as 1/5 to leave in 2026 earlier this year with frustrations growing around the decision to hire Peter Mandelson as US ambassador, though Starmer appeared to have ridden the storm with top aide Morgan McSweeney resigning.

However the PM is implicated in a new furore following the revelation that Mandelson failed vetting checks prior to his appointment, only for the failures to be disregarded and overruled by the Foreign Office.

Number 10 insist that the prime minister was not aware Mandelson had failed the vetting process until this week and has since asked the Foreign Office to investigate how and why Mandelson was given security clearance.

Despite protesting innocence over the issue, there are calls from all corners for Starmer to resign, and he is into 4/9 to vacate his position as leader of the Labour Party in 2026.

Politics

What year will Keir Starmer be replaced as Labour Leader?

(Odds will display when market is available)

Leaders of the Conservatives, SNP, Greens, Reform UK and Liberal Democrats have all called for Starmer to step down amid suggestions that the PM misled parliament.

Chief secretary to the prime minister Darren Jones said that Starmer has neither knowingly nor unknowingly misled parliament. Nigel Farage however has said

Kemi Badenoch told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "It is completely preposterous that the prime minister, the former chief prosecutor of this country, did not ask basic questions, did not ask to look at the security vetting himself. I'm afraid that it is simply not possible."

Ed Davey also told the Today programme that a much of national security "surely would have been communicated to the prime minister".

Nigel Farage told LBC "It is totally unbelievable" that Starmer was not aware that Mandelson had failed vetting checks.

Zack Polanski posted on X: "There's no way today should end without Starmer's resignation. Any other outcome would an absurd scenario where this Labour Government - and all in it - would be laughing in our faces."

Stephen Flynn also took to X to say: "The Prime Minister is either incompetent, gullible or a liar. Or all three."

Any odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and are subject to fluctuation.

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