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Napoli v Como Prediction: Como to mark their mark in 9/2 draw

Max Allegri takes charge of his first home game as Napoli boss on Sunday as two of last season's top four meet.

Five-time Scudetto winner Allegri wasn't exactly seen as a forward-thinking appointment after he succeeded Antonio Conte this summer, however, the former Juventus and AC Milan boss made a winning start in last weekend's Serie A trip to Genoa.

Como secured UEFA Champions League football with a fourth-placed finish last term and the ambitious outfit are hoping their talented young squad can kick on again under Cesc Fabregas.

Napoli v Como Tips Summary

Best Bet - Both teams to score @ 10/11
Alternative Bet - Correct score - 1-1 @ 9/2
Bet Builder - Scott McTominay and Assane Diao 1+ shots on target & Maximo Perrone to be booked @ 15/2

Napoli v Como

Napoli v Como Prediction

Best Bet: Both teams to score @ 10/11

Allegri's arrival won't bring exhilarating football, but his opening game in charge saw them keep Genoa fairly quiet in a routine 2-0 victory.

Napoli do have talent in the final third, with former Manchester United forward Rasmus Hojlund securing a starting role after last season's impressive loan spell.

Visitors Como were involved in an open 1-1 draw with Udinese last weekend. Fabregas' men generated 1.5 Expected Goals and registered six shots on target in that draw, but they conceded 2.14 xG.

Allegri's Milan side conceded 21 times in 19 home matches last season and his new charges could be caught out by Como on Sunday.

The visitors scored 30 times in 19 away matches last season, while they shared score draws with Paris FC and Arsenal in pre-season.

Alternative Bet: Correct score - 1-1 @ 9/2

Como head into this clash unbeaten across their last four meetings with Napoli, including all three encounters last season and the two sides could share the spoils this weekend.

Napoli broke the deadlock against Genoa with eight minutes of normal time remaining, while Como drew three of their four warm-up matches before their clash with Udinese.

While the Partenopei got off to a winning start, they vastly overperformed against their xG last season.

They had the seventh-best record in the division in terms of Expected Points and the departure of Conte could see a drop-off in results.

Como drew 1-1 on five occasions in Serie A last term and there's expected to be little between these two sides come May.

A second 1-1 draw of the campaign for the visitors is worth considering.

Napoli v Como Bet Builder Tip

  • Scott McTominay 1+ shots on target

  • Assane Diao 1+ shots on target

  • Maximo Perrone to be booked

    Pays 15/2

Scott McTominay remains key for Napoli and their 4-3-3 system is built to get the best out of him.

He averaged a shot on target per game in Serie A last season, and he recorded one in the win over Genoa. Given the rate at which Como conceded chances last weekend, back him to have an effort on goal.

For Como, Assane Diao closed last season with an effort on target in five of his final six appearances.

That included two shots on goal in their draw with Napoli in May and he had seven shots across the two league meetings between the sides.

The winger should play a bigger role this season and he's backed for a shot on target.

Finally, Como had one of the worst disciplinary records in Serie A last season, with only three teams being shown more yellow cards.

Maximo Perrone was a key part of that, picking up a total of eight cautions. He has been booked five times away from home in each of his last two Serie A campaigns.

Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.

Key Match Stats

  • Napoli won 13 home league games last season, drew four and only lost two

  • Como scored 30 times in their 19 away league games last term

  • The previous three meetings between these two sides have finished level

  • Como played out five 1-1 draws in Serie A last season

  • Como had the third-best record in terms of xG last term, while Napoli ranked seventh

  • Maximo Perrone has picked up 29 league bookings since 2022

Read more football betting tips and predictions on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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