Iran's chances of making the knockout rounds of the World Cup for the first time ever could rest on their clash with New Zealand in Los Angeles.
The Iranian side have to travel from Mexico for their three games in the US, making preparations tricky for a side that is already without a couple of key names.
The format of this tournament means that one victory could secure a place in the next round, however, with so many distractions and obstacles facing this Iranian team, they won't be happy that their most winnable game is also their opener in Group G.
Best Bet - Iran to win @ 17/20
Alternative Bet - Iran to win and under 2.5 goals @ 5/2
Bet Builder - Mehdi Taremi to score anytime, Marko Stamenic to be booked & Milad Mohammadi 1+ fouls @ 10/1
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Best Bet: Iran to win @ 17/20
It's hard to think of any side that is a bigger beneficiary of the World Cup's expansion than New Zealand.
With OFC getting a guaranteed spot at the tournament, a side that missed nine of the previous 10 editions should become a fixture moving forward.
However, their soft route to the tournament tells us little about how capable the All Whites are. Since securing their berth in March 2025 they've played 12 times and they've lost nine of their last 11.
They have played six matches in the US and Canada over the last 12 months and have suffered defeats to Ukraine, Colombia, Ecuador, Haiti and England.
Iran won 11 of their 16 qualifiers, scoring 35 times. They picked up wins over Gambia and Mali before departing for North America and they're good value to start with a win.
Alternative Bet: Iran to win and under 2.5 goals @ 5/2
While Iran are backed to make a winning start, this is unlikely to be a high-scoring contest.
New Zealand have suffered six defeats to nil across their last 10 internationals, including each of their last three games in North America.
Iran had a stellar defensive record in qualifying, conceding only 12 goals in 16 matches, while Chris Wood's injury-hit season isn't ideal for the All Whites and the Iranians should be able to keep him quiet.
While Iran can keep New Zealand quiet, Amir Ghalenoei's team aren't exactly free-flowing in the final third.
Sardar Azmoun hasn't returned since being removed from the squad in March and the 31-year-old is a big miss after he scored eight times in qualifying.
A low-scoring contest is on the cards, so back Iran to win and under 2.5 goals.
Mehdi Taremi to score anytime
Marko Stamenic to be booked
Milad Mohammadi 1+ fouls
Pays 10/1
With Azmoun not available, Taremi has to shoulder the scoring burden for Iran.
The former FC Porto and Inter Milan striker finished qualifying with 10 goals and 17 assists, having a hand in almost half of Iran's total goals. He has scored five times across his last six appearances for Iran.
New Zealand's dominance in OFC means they only picked up one caution across their five qualifying matches.
They'll find things tougher at this tournament and Stamenic is a standout bet for a card after he was shown 12 yellows for Swansea City in the Championship in 2025/26.
Finally, left-back Mohammadi committed seven fouls across his final four qualifiers for Iran and he's backed to make a foul to complete this treble.
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New Zealand have lost nine of their last 11 matches
Iran won 11 of their 16 qualifying matches
The Iranians won both warm-up fixtures ahead of the tournament
The All Whites have played six friendly matches in North America in preparation, losing five of them
Iran conceded only 12 times on their way to the tournament
New Zealand have suffered six defeats to nil across their last 10 fixtures
View details of how to watch Iran v New Zealand on site.
Check out our World Cup odds on site.
This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
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