Albania will be out for revenge after a 2-1 defeat last month when they face Finland in Tirana in the second round of UEFA Nations League ties.
A first-half red card for Etrit Berisha hampered Albania's efforts for a result in that reverse fixture, but they still held their own at the Helsinki Olympic Stadium and they will be hopeful of a better result on Thursday.
However, defeat against Finland would see them lose the top spot in Group C1, with both Finland and Belarus just a couple of points behind the leaders.
Albania v Finland Tips Summary
Best Bet - Albania to win @ 23/20
Alternative Bet - Kristjan Asllani to score anytime @ 7/2
Bet Builder - Albania to score over 1 goal, Under 12 corners, Most goals in 1st half @ 29/4
Albania v Finland Prediction
Best Bet: Albania to win @ 23/20
Finland may have taken the three points in Helsinki in October, but Albania held their own in that match despite being reduced to 10 men and they look good value to maintain their position at the top of Group C1.
They have won three of their four UEFA Nations League matches and won the shot count and expected goals tally in the first meeting with Finland.
They had 14 shots to Finland's 11 and generated 1.15 expected goals, 0.8 of which came in the second half, and they have looked the best side in this group so far.
The visiting Huuhkajat followed their win over Albania with a 1-0 defeat in Belarus and their only convincing performance so far came as they hammered minnows San Marino in their opener, so back the hosts for the points.
Alternative Bet: Kristjan Asllani to score anytime @ 7/2
Kristjan Asllani assisted Rey Manaj's opener against Finland in October, but the Al Jazira midfielder has had an eye for goal himself in this campaign.
He scored twice against San Marino last time out and found the net against Belarus at the end of September.
This takes his tally to eight goals for his country, and he looks good value to continue his excellent attacking form on Thursday.
Albania v Finland Bet Builder Tip
Albania to score over 1 goal
Under 12 corners
Most goals in 1st half
Pays @ 17/2
Albania may have only found the net once in the reverse fixture, but their first-half red card scuppered their attacking ambitions. Despite being reduced to 10 men, they still held their own and generated 0.8 expected goals in the second half and they have scored at least twice in each of the other three games in this campaign.
The reverse fixture last month saw Finland win the corner count 7-6, but that is the only time this campaign that either side has been involved in a game with 12 or more corners.
Under 12 corners has won three of both Albania's and Finland's four matches, with averages of 10.5 and 8.25 corners per game, respectively.
We can also expect most of the action to take place in the first half.
Seven of the 11 goals scored across Albania's four UEFA Nations League ties have come before the break, with more goals being scored in the first half on three occasions, while six of the 11 goals scored in Finland's quartet of games have been in the first half.
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Key Match Stats
Albania have won three of their four UEFA Nations League matches.
Kristjan Asllani has three goals and one assist in his last four appearances for Albania.
They have scored twice or more in three of these games.
Under 12 corners has landed in three of both Albania's and Finland's four games.
Seven of the 11 goals scored in Albania's four UEFA Nations League games have been in the first half
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
