Atalanta have already suffered defeats at Roma and Juventus this season, and their tough start away from home continues on Sunday.
Ruben Amorim’s AC Milan are still unbeaten in Serie A, and they are fresh from a convincing 4-0 victory at Salzburg in the Europa League on Thursday.
In contrast to Atalanta’s away struggles, the Rossoneri are aiming to extend a perfect start at home in Serie A.
AC Milan v Atalanta Tips Summary
Best Bet - AC Milan to win @ 4/5
Alternative Bet - Goncalo Ramos to score anytime @ 6/4
Bet Builder - Strahinja Pavlovic and Ederson to be booked @ 15/1
AC Milan v Atalanta Prediction
Best Bet: AC Milan to win @ 4/5
Milan have beaten Lecce and Venezia at home this season, and they are out to make it three wins from three on Sunday evening.
Not only have Atalanta lost both of their away trips, but they have suffered three defeats across their last four Serie A games. La Dea are 18th in the Expected Goals table, having generated only 6.3 xG across their first six games, while facing almost double that number.
Only Juventus have conceded fewer shots than Milan in Serie A this season. Meanwhile, Atalanta have faced 115 efforts on goal through six matches, the third-highest number in the league.
While Amorim has built a solid foundation, he suddenly has plenty of difference-makers in the final third.
Alphadjo Cisse’s rise continued with a hat-trick on Thursday. He’s competing with summer signing Diego Moreira for a starting role, while Christian Pulisic could be set for a run in the team.
With Milan impressing at both ends of the pitch, back them at 4/5 to add to Atalanta’s struggles.
Alternative Bet: Goncalo Ramos to score anytime @ 6/4
Milan’s biggest transfer gamble, and their biggest show of faith in Amorim, was the signing of Goncalo Ramos. The Portuguese forward has spent much of the last few years as a back-up for both club and country, but Milan have made him the fulcrum of their attack.
Ramos had a slow start, scoring in only one of his first six appearances for the Rossoneri. However, he took on a starting role for Portugal during the international break, and he’s been in flying form since.
Ramos has scored in four of his last five appearances for club and country, racking up nine shots on target in that time.
Ramos can continue that fine form against a porous Atalanta defence, and he’s a great anytime goalscorer option at 6/4.
AC Milan v Atalanta Bet Builder Tip
- Strahinja Pavlovic to be booked
- Ederson to be booked
Pays 15/1
These two sides have shared 26 yellow cards and one red across their last six meetings at the San Siro, so betting on bookings looks like an appealing way to go in this clash.
Strahinja Pavlovic leads all Milan players with four cautions this term, including three in Serie A. The defender picked up a caution for Serbia in the final game of the international break, and he followed that up with another against Sassuolo last weekend.
Pavlovic is a contender to be cautioned once again, having picked up bookings at home against Venezia and Benfica.
Brazilian midfielder Ederson has been booked four times against Milan in his career, and the captain leads all Atalanta players in terms of fouls committed this season.
Ederson hasn’t been booked this term, but he has been cautioned 20 times across the last four Serie A campaigns, so pair him with Pavlovic for a 15/1 double.
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Key Match Stats
- Atalanta have lost three of their last four Serie A matches
- The visitors are third-from-bottom in the Expected Goals standings
- Milan are unbeaten in the league so far this season
- The hosts have faced the second-fewest shots in Serie A this term
- The Rossoneri won 4-0 at Salzburg on Thursday night
- Ramos has scored in four of his last five games for club and country
- Ramos has also recorded at least one shot on target in six straight matches
- Ederson has a career-high four bookings against Milan
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
