Welcome to NFL Week 9!
The Action Network’s Chief Content Officer Chad Millman has his picks and analysis for the NFL Week 9 slate, including Same Game Parlay, Money Line parlay, and a Best Bet for the weekend.
Jump ahead to each segment:
Let's dive in!
Rivalry renewed
The marquee matchup of Week 9 will take place at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday evening, with the 128th all-time meeting between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys.
The Eagles (-3) are favored by a field goal, but what actually is the gap between these teams?
Chad says it may be bigger than you think.
Philly boasts the best offensive line in football, allowing Jalen Hurts to attack opposing defenses from all angles. The fourth-year QB has picked apart most everyone he’s played against this year and is the +300 MVP favorite after a 4 TD performance in Week 8.
Pair that with the red-hot A.J. Brown, one of the nastiest defensive fronts in football, and the near-unstoppable ‘brotherly shove,’ and the Eagles tick off every box at this point of the season.
The Cowboys are among the top teams in the NFC, but can’t match Philly in the above areas and have had some wonky results – a Week 3 loss to the Cardinals and blowout loss to the 49ers – making them a more vulnerable outfit than their NFC East rivals.
Market movers
Some of the NFL’s statistical leaders heading into Week 9 were not-so-obvious to predict before the season.
Dolphins wide-out Tyreek Hill has been the most dynamic player in the NFL this season, and leads the league with 1,014 receiving yards. He’s the first player in NFL history to record 1,000+ receiving yards across the first eight games of a season.
Preseason, Hill was +900 to lead the league in receiving yards. He’s now the -125 favorite.
Hill’s quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is also enjoying a career year, averaging 302 pass yards per game for a total of 2,416 on the season, more than any other QB. The Miami signal-caller was +1200 preseason to lead the NFL in passing yards – he’s the +225 co-favorite ahead of Week 9.
Ja’Marr Chase and the Cincinnati Bengals have rebounded from a slow start to find themselves in the thick of the AFC playoff picture at 4-3. After recording 10 catches through Week 2, Chase has 50 receptions in his last five games and ranks third in the NFL with 60 total receptions.
The Bengals WR is currently a +550 shot to lead the league in receptions.
Another record-breaker in 2023, A.J. Brown is the first player in history to log six-straight games with 125+ receiving yards. The Eagles WR’s dominant stretch has seen him jump up in the betting for Offensive Player of the Year.
A +5000 shot before the season, Brown enters Week 9 third-favorite at +700.
Do Your Job
The New England Patriots’ shambolic start to the season has turned a corner in recent weeks, first with a win against the Bills and then a decent performance against the Dolphins in Week 8.
Facing the depleted Commanders – who traded starting defensive linemen Montez Sweat and Chase Young before Tuesday's deadline – next, Chad likes Bill Belichick’s group to ground and pound their way to victory in Foxborough on Sunday.
Same Game Parlay: Patriots ML, Rhamondre Stevenson Over Rush Yards, Mac Jones Under Pass Yards
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Min odds: +100. Same Game Parlay, Same Game Parlay+ or Accumulators (In-Play and Pre-Game).
Who wins in Week 9?
It’s three underdogs on the card for Chad’s Week 9 money line parlay.
The Bears (+280) are the longest shot on the card, as Tyson Bagent will make his third career start when Chicago visits the Saints.
The Buccaneers (+125) visit the Texans looking to stop a three-game skid. Tampa Bay hasn’t scored more than 18 points since Week 2, but face a Houston team that lost to the previously-winless Panthers in Week 8.
The Panthers (+130) are coming off their first win of the season and host the up-and-down Colts this Sunday. Carolina’s defense stifled C.J. Stroud and company in Week 8 and will look to do the same against the Gardner Minshew-led Indy offense.
Chad’s Money Line Parlay: Bears ML, Buccaneers ML, Panthers ML
Chad's Best Bet
This divisional rivalry is only going one way this Sunday, according to Chad.
Everything about the Eagles heading into this one – Jalen Hurts’ MVP form, A.J. Brown’s dynamism, the play-calling, strength at the line of scrimmage, and home-field advantage – signals they’ve got the upper hand on the Cowboys.
And they’re only favored by a field goal.
Chad’s Best Bet: Eagles -3
Odds displayed within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.
