Welcome to NFL Week 15!
The Action Network’s Chief Content Officer Chad Millman has his picks and analysis for the NFL Week 15 slate, including Same Game Parlay, Money Line Parlay, and a Best Bet for the weekend.
Jump ahead to each segment:
Let’s dive in!
The biggest game of the week has the Buffalo Bills as short -2.0 home favorites against the Dallas Cowboys. The Bills have played better in recent weeks, but they’re running into a Cowboys team that’s riding high on a five-game winning streak.
Despite Dallas scoring over 30 points in each of those five games, Chad thinks the Cowboys are over-inflated in most markets. As a result, he is going with the Bills to beat the spread here with them coming off a surprise Week 14 win over the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Bills’ postseason outlook would look much better with a win here. If you, like Chad, think the Bills will win, he says it’s probably worth taking a chance on the Bills to win the AFC East.
At 7-6, the Bills are two games behind the first-placed Miami Dolphins. Those teams play each other in Week 18, and Miami plays the New York Jets this week but has challenging matchups against the Cowboys and Baltimore Ravens between now and the Bills game.
Buffalo, on the other hand, has easier games against the Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots in Week 16 and Week 17.
Josh Allen is +1600 to win MVP and the Bills’ odds to win the division have been boosted from +300 to +325, so check out those offers if you feel optimistic about Josh Allen and Co.
Last week’s Same Game Parlay, like all of Chad’s Week 14 bets, cashed. This week, he’s looking at the Los Angeles Rams’ offense against the Washington Commanders.
The Commanders’ defense got a lot worse after trading Chase Young and Montez Sweat, especially in the run game. Washington’s pass defense was never that good, as it leads the league in passing yards allowed with 3,458 through 13 games.
Chad’s Same Game Parlay: Rams ML, M. Stafford Over Pass Yds., K. Williams Anytime TD
Chad’s Week 15 Money Line Parlay features the Carolina Panthers (+145 ML) against the Atlanta Falcons, the Tennesee Titans (-160 ML) against the Houston Texans, and the Miami Dolphins (-425 ML) against the New York Jets.
The Panthers are short home underdogs against their division rivals and they had some bad luck against the Saints last week, so Chad thinks they will improve further to get their second win of the year. Texans QB CJ Stroud is recovering from a concussion suffered and his status is uncertain after missing practice, so look for the Titans to take advantage. Speaking of the Titans, Chad thinks the Dolphins will bounce back after losing to Tennessee last week.
Chad’s Money Line Parlay: Panthers ML, Titans ML, Dolphins ML
The Los Angeles Rams and Washington Commanders are going in opposite directions, and Chad expects that to be proven on the field when these two teams meet in Week 15.
The Rams are back at home and with Matthew Stafford’s arm going up against a team that defends the deep ball poorly, Chad thinks the Rams will win by more than a touchdown and beat the -6.5 spread.
Chad’s Best Bet: Rams -6.5
Odds within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.