Welcome to NFL Week 14!
The Action Network's Chief Content Officer Chad Millman has his picks and analysis for the NFL Week 14 slate, including Same Game Parlay, Money Line parlay, and a Best Bet for the weekend.
Jump ahead to each segment:
- Bills-Chiefs preview
- Bills playoff hopes diminishing
- Same Game Parlay: Seahawks @ 49ers
- Money Line Parlay
- Chad's Best Bet
Let's dive in!
Bills-Chiefs preview
It seems everyone pinpointed this game as one to watch when the 2023 season schedule was released. While the teams have not played well enough to make this feel like an AFC Championship preview, it will be one to watch with the Buffalo Bills fighting for their playoff lives and the Kansas City Chiefs coming off a loss to the Green Bay Packers.
The Bills opened at +3 and are now the 2.5-point underdogs.
If you're interested in the Chiefs, this could be a good opportunity. Patrick Mahomes and co. are dominant when favored by three points or fewer, although professional bettors will like the Bills as underdogs.
Bills face uphill battle to playoffs
As stated, the Bills are fighting for their playoff lives.
The Bills have a 6-6 record and are +390 to make the playoffs. After facing the Chiefs this week, the Bills will meet the Dallas Cowboys, Los Angeles Chargers, New England Patriots, and Miami Dolphins to end the season.
Beware of the temptation to take those odds because that's a difficult end to the campaign, especially with the 7-5 Indianapolis Colts able to secure at least a wild card spot if they can take the head-to-head tiebreaker by beating the 7-5 Houston Texans on the final day of the season.
Same Game Parlay: Seahawks at 49ers
We're not too far removed from the San Francisco 49ers' 31-13 demolition of the Seattle Seahawks on Thanksgiving. With that in mind, Chad is eyeing a 49ers offensive clinic this weekend.
The Niners are 9-3 and have been on a tear lately after losing three consecutive games between Week 6 and Week 8. They followed the Seahawks win on Thanksgiving with a 42-19 win over the Philadelphia Eagles, and they have won by at least 10 points in their last four games.
Chad's Same Game Parlay: 49ers ML, C. McCaffrey Over Rush Yds., D. Samuel Anytime TD
Who wins in Week 14?
Chad's Week 14 Money Line Parlay features the Baltimore Ravens (-360 ML) hosting the Los Angeles Rams, the Chicago Bears (+150 ML) as underdogs while hosting the Detroit Lions, and the Cleveland Browns (-170 ML) at home against the hobbled Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Ravens have won five of their last six while playing well-rounded football, the Bears - especially the defense - have improved and played the Lions close in Detroit a few weeks ago, and the Browns defense should dominate with Trevor Lawrence set to miss the game with an ankle injury.
Chad's Money Line Parlay: Ravens ML, Bears ML, Browns ML
Chad's Best Bet
While he likes the Ravens to win outright, Chad also thinks the Rams will cover the +7 spread.
Matthew Stafford and the entire Rams offense never gives up, no matter the deficit. Plus, Lamar Jackson has a losing record against the spread when favored by more than a field goal.
Five of the Ravens' 12 games have been decided by a touchdown or less, so look for the Rams to add to that trend on Sunday.
Chad's Best Bet: Rams +7.0
Odds within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.
