A'ja Wilson was just named the WNBA's 2024 MVP by unanimous vote, becoming just the fourth player in league history to be a three-time most valuable player, and she's looking to lead the Las Vegas Aces to a first-round sweep over the Seattle Storm.
She shrugged off an early cold shooting performance to finish with a game-high 21 points, veteran Tiffany Hayes came off the bench to add 20 points and the Las Vegas Aces defeated the Seattle Storm 78-67 to win Game 1 of their first-round playoff series.
Skylar Diggins-Smith led the Storm with 16 points, but the Aces, seeking to become just the second team to win three straight WNBA titles, can close out the series on home court.
Below are our experts' picks and predictions for Game 2.
Las Vegas got back to business toward the end of the regular season. After struggling (by their standards) during a 6-6 stretch midway through the 2024 campaign, they closed by winning nine out of 10 games.
That momentum carried into the first game of the postseason and the Aces have now won five straight at home.
The trends are very much supporting Las Vegas as well. The Aces are 10-0-1 in their last 11 games against the spread. That includes a 5-0 stretch ATS at home. Wilson and company are not interested in traveling to Seattle for Game 3. They are motivated to close out at home.
Meanwhile, Seattle is trending in the opposite direction. The Storm are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 against the spread, including 1-5 ATS in their last six.
The team came into the playoffs winning five of its last six, but they're coming up against Las Vegas at the wrong time.
Look for Las Vegas to cover the nine-point spread and close out this first-round series.
The trends are speaking loudly here as well. Las Vegas has played to the Under eight times in its last nine games, while Seattle had done the same thing in four of its last five games.
The teams combined for 145 points in the series opener and they have totaled less than 160.5 points in three of their five contests this season.
It’s playoff basketball and two teams in the league’s top half in points allowed should keep this contest Under 160.5 points.
Jewell Lloyd was the Storm’s leading scorer at 19.7 points per game during the regular season, but she was held to just six points in the series opener.
She missed the final three games of the regular season and could not shake off the mini-rust, shooting just 33 percent (5/15) from the field.
Lloyd has been boom or bust in four games against the Aces this season. She was held to her two lowest scoring outputs this season, but she also averaged 26.5 points in the teams' other two games with Las Vegas.
Our experts expect more than six points from Lloyd to stave off elimination, but expect her to still come in Under 16.5 points.
By that same token, Wilson should be hungry to close out this series. She has scored 21 points in each of her last two games and she is going to want more here.
Expect a hotter start this go-around for the league’s leading scorer, so look for Wilson to score Over 25.5 points.
Seattle Storm | +325 ML |
Las Vegas Aces | -425 ML |
Spread | LV Aces -9.0 |
Total Points | O/U 160.5 |
Jewell Lloyd (SEA Storm) | O/U 16.5 |
Skylar Diggins-Smith (SEA Storm) | O/U 15.5 |
Nneka Ogwumike (SEA Storm) | O/U 15.5 |
A'Ja Wilson (LV Aces) | O/U 25.5 |
Kelsey Plum (LV Aces) | O/U 15.5 |
Jackie Young (LV Aces) | O/U 13.5 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.