New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces face off in a highly anticipated rematch of the 2023 WNBA Finals on Saturday.

The Aces took home the championship last season, winning the series 3-1, but the Liberty have surged this year, holding a stellar 22-4 record.

This Saturday's showdown, set for 4 PM ET on CBS, promises to be a thrilling battle between two of the league's best teams.

The Liberty enter this game on a high note after a dominant 103-68 victory over the Los Angeles Sparks, while the Aces are coming off a tough 93-85 loss to the Chicago Sky.

In their last meeting, New York edged out Las Vegas 90-82. With both teams eager to prove themselves following the Olympic break, this game could be another close contest.

New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces betting picks and predictions

Las Vegas Aces Money Line (-115)

The Las Vegas Aces are favored by a slim margin on the money line, and for good reason. Despite their 8-5 home record, they’ve been red hot over their last 10 games, going 8-2.

After a slow start to the season by their standards, the Aces have returned to their usual standards. That's largely due to the outstanding play of A’ja Wilson, who has recorded 24+ points and 14+ rebounds in each of her last four WNBA games.

Expect Wilson to have the ball a lot, whether via rebound or post entry. She should deliver an impactful performance, likely posting a double-double, despite a tough matchup against Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones in the paint.

Although the Liberty are 10-3 on the road, the Aces have shown resilience at home, especially against top-tier teams.

With Kelsey Plum and Wilson leading the charge, Las Vegas has the offensive firepower to edge out New York in what should be a tightly contested game.

Under 173.5 Total Points (-110)

Both the Liberty and the Aces have potent offenses, but recent trends suggest that this game could stay under the projected total of 173.5 points.

The Liberty have gone under this mark in 22 of their 26 games this season, a clear indication of their focus on defense and efficient, controlled scoring, while the Aces have surpassed this total in 50% of their games.

The key factors pointing to the under are the matchups between the star players.

Stewart and Wilson will be locked in a fierce battle in the paint, neutralizing each other’s scoring potential to some extent. On the perimeter, Sabrina Ionescu and Kelsey Plum will go head-to-head, with both teams likely to emphasize slowing down the opponent's primary ball handlers and shooters.

The last meeting between these teams ended with a total of 172 points, just below the current line, and history suggests another similar outcome. In the 45 games ever played between the Liberty and the Aces, the average total score is 159 points.

Given the defensive prowess of both teams and their tendency to play low-scoring games, taking the under 173.5 points at -110 is a strong bet. With both squads capable of clamping down on defense, especially in a high-stakes rematch, the total is likely to stay below the projected line.

New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces odds

New York Liberty	-105 ML
Las Vegas Aces	-115 ML
Spread	LV Aces -2.5
Total Points	O/U 173.5

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.