Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm: Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Las Vegas Aces, coming off a 96-81 victory at home over the Los Angeles Sparks on Friday to sit at 3-2, next travel to Seattle to take on the Storm at 6 PM ET on Sunday.

Seattle has lost two straight, including a 94-87 defeat at home to the Atlanta Dream on Friday, and are now 3-3. 

This is the second time in a week that the two teams have met in the Emerald City, with the Storm having soundly defeated the Aces last Sunday, 102-82.

Nneka Ogwumike had 23 points, eight rebounds, and six assists to pace Seattle in that win, followed by Ezi Magbegor with 12 points and seven rebounds. The team shot 60% (42-of-70) from the field, including 50% (8-of-16) from 3-point land.

Skylar Diggins leads Seattle in scoring (19 PPG) and assists (6.8 APG), followed by Ogwumike (18.2 PPG), Gabby Williams (13 PPG), and veteran Erica Wheeler (10 PPG), in her first year with the Storm.

A’ja Wilson was held to 15 points, tied for her season low, for Las Vegas. Jewell Loyd and Jackie Young each scored 14. 

The Aces dispatched Seattle in the first round of the 2024 WNBA playoffs. 

This is also the teams’ first Commissioner’s Cup game of the season. This is the annual competition within each conference, with each team playing five games apiece, with the winner of the West facing the winner of the East in a title game on July 1. 

Las Vegas won the inaugural Commissioner's Cup in 2021 while Seattle has yet to take home the title.

All of that is in the past, however. Read below for our experts’ predictions on tonight’s contest.

Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm betting picks and predictions

Seattle Storm +2.5 (-105) 

Seattle lost both games last week, against the Dream and last season's beaten finalists Minnesota Lynx - teams currently ahead of it in the standings. That’s where the Aces sit right now as well, a half game ahead.

The Storm are not so far removed from last week’s complete performance against the Aces though. Wheeler, now in her ninth season, scored 21 points in the win over Las Vegas, and has scored in double figures in three straight games. That gave Seattle five double-digit scorers against the Aces.

Las Vegas is 1-2 on the road early in the season, and has been beaten soundly twice, by the Storm and the defending WNBA champion New York Liberty. Wilson, the two-time and defending WNBA MVP, is third in the league in scoring (23.6 PPG) and rebounding (11.2 RPG) and leads the team in assists, steals, and blocks. Young (19.4 PPG), Chelsea Gray (12.8 PPG) and Loyd (10.2 PPG) are the only other Aces averaging double figures right now.

If Seattle can hold Wilson and Young to similar production as last week, they will be in a good spot to take a second straight win over the Aces. Regardless, our experts like Seattle to at least cover the 2.5-point spread at home as underdogs.

Alternate Game Total - Over 164.0 points (+130)

Seattle and its opponents have only tallied over 164 points twice in six games, but those occurrences have come in the last three contests, including the Storm’s 102-82 victory last week over the Aces.

Las Vegas has gone over 164 points three times in five games, and will want to push the pace today to get Wilson going much earlier offensively.

Both teams are middle of the pack offensively and defensively. The Storm are ninth in scoring offense (80.2 ppg) and fifth in scoring defense (80 ppg), while the Aces are sixth in scoring offense (83.6 ppg) and ninth in scoring defense (81.8) ppg).

A'ja Wilson Over 25.5 points (+100) 

Wilson should be in a good mood. She just scored a season-high 35 points in the victory over the Sparks Friday night. 

But she is a full three points below last year’s season average so far and was stymied by Seattle last week. 

She’s already third-best in the league in scoring, but Friday night may have been just what she needed to spark her offensive game to an even higher level. 

Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm odds

Las Vegas Aces	-155
Seattle Storm	+130
Spread	LV Aces -2.5
Total Points	O/U 160.0

Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm player props

Player Points

A’ja Wilson (LV Aces)	O/U 25.5
Jackie Young (LV Aces)	O/U 17.5
Jewell Loyd (LV Aces)	O/U 12.5
Nneka Ogwumike (SEA Storm)	O/U 17.5
Skylar Diggins (SEA Storm)	O/U 17.5
Gabby Williams (SEA Storm)	O/U 12.5

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.