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2025 U.S. Open First Round Leader Odds

The 2025 U.S. Open gets underway from Oakmont Country Club just outside of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania this week.

The third major of the 2025 season will see tournament favorite Scottie Scheffler looking to win back-to-back majors, Bryson DeChambeau defending his 2024 title, and Rory McIlroy hoping to add to his long-awaited Masters triumph earlier this year.

But before any player dreams of lifting the U.S. Open trophy, they must start strong in Thursday’s opening round.

Let’s take a look at the latest odds for First Round Leader at the 2025 U.S. Open.

2025 U.S. Open 1st Round Leader Odds

Scottie Scheffler

+900

Bryson DeChambeau

+1800

Jon Rahm

+2000

Rory McIlroy

+2200

Ludvig Aberg

+3000

Xander Schauffele

+3000

Collin Morikawa

+3500

Joaquin Niemann

+3500

Shane Lowry

+3500

Tommy Fleetwood

+4000

Outright favorite Scheffler is also the favorite to lead after the first round at Oakmont on Thursday, priced at +900.

The 2025 PGA Championship winner does not have a track record of flying out of the gates at majors, and most recently trailed Johnattan Vegas by five strokes after the opening round at Quail Hollow last month. At the 2025 Masters, Scheffler was three strokes off Justin Rose’s first round lead.

Scottie’s most recent first round lead came at The CJ Cup Byron Nelson, when he shot a 10-under 61 on Thursday en route to an eight-stroke victory.

DeChambeau, second-favorite to lead after Round 1 at +1800, has been known to come out firing at the biggest events. The 31-year-old held the outright lead after the opening rounds of both the 2024 Masters and 2023 PGA Championship.

Jon Rahm (+2000) and McIlroy (+2200) are next.

Rahm, along with Viktor Hovland and Brooks Koepka, led after the first round of the 2023 Masters, a tournament he won. McIlroy’s last first round lead at a major, which came at the 2024 U.S. Open, was shared with Patrick Cantlay.

Rory’s shot even par 72 in the first round at the Masters this year, seven shots off Rose’s lead, before posting 66-66-73 to come back and win the Green Jacket.

Ludvig Aberg (+3000), Xander Schauffele (+3300), Collin Morikawa (+3500), Joaquin Niemann (+3500) and Shane Lowry (+3500) are all shorter than 40/1 to lead after the first 18 on Thursday.

Read the latest betting picks and predictions for the 2025 U.S. Open here.

First Round Leaders at Last 10 Majors

Tournament

First Round Leader (Score)

Tournament Winner (Score)

2025 PGA Championship

Jhonattan Vegas (-7)

Scottie Scheffler (-11)

2025 Masters

Justin Rose (-7)

Rory McIlroy (-11)

2024 Open Championship

Daniel Brown (-6)

Xander Schauffele (-9)

2024 U.S. Open

R. McIlroy, P. Cantlay (-5)

Bryson DeChambeau (-6)

2024 PGA Championship

Xander Schauffele (-9)

Xander Schauffele (-21)

2024 Masters

Bryson DeChambeau (-7)

Scottie Scheffler (-11)

2023 Open Championship

E. Grillo, T. Fleetwood, C. Lamprecht (-5)

Brian Harman (-13)

2023 U.S. Open

R. Fowler, X. Schauffele (-8)

Wyndham Clark (-10)

2023 PGA Championship

Bryson DeChambeau (-4)

Brooks Koepka (-9)

2023 Masters

J. Rahm, B. Koepka, V. Hovland (-7)

Jon Rahm (-12)

Odds mentioned in this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.

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