2024 US Open: Women's Outright Odds

The four biggest stars of the WTA circuit dominate the betting for the upcoming US Open.

Outright favorite Aryna Sabalenka is assumed to be fully fit again after missing Wimbledon with a shoulder injury.

Defending champion Coco Gauff failed to capitalize on a favorable draw at Wimbledon, going out in the fourth round, one further than top seed Iga Swiatek managed as her Wimbledon woes continued.

Elena Rybakina was the only member of the elite quartet to reach the semifinals of the grass Grand Slam and will now head to Flushing Meadows looking to improve on a moderate US Open record. 

So, as the best players in the world focus on the North American hard court season, let’s take a look at the latest outright odds to win the US Open women’s singles title in 2024.

Aryna Sabalenka +250

Aryna Sabalenka has been given the all-clear to resume training and playing competitive matches after scans on the shoulder injury that forced her to pull out of Wimbledon proved positive.

The Belarusian, who lost a three-set battle to an inspired Gauff in last year’s US Open Final, is likely to be the third seed for this year’s tournament unless she can significantly outperform the American in the lead-up events.

Both of Sabalenka’s Grand Slam wins have come on hard courts at the Australian Open and her 71% career win ratio on the surface is better than Gauff’s and Rybakina’s.  

So it would be no surprise if the 26-year-old goes all the way in New York this time around.

Iga Swiatek +350

Iga Swiatek looks set to be the top seed at Flushing Meadows, despite her third-round exit at Wimbledon, because of the ranking points she built up during an incredible clay court campaign.

The Pole had won 19 consecutive matches on the slowest surface, scooping the titles at Madrid and Rome before her successful defence of the French Open crown at Roland Garros. But that streak ended with a loss to China's Zheng Qinwen in the Olympic semifinals.

As we saw recently at Wimbledon and during her fourth-round US Open exit at the hands of Jelena Ostapenko last year, Swiatek is not the all-conquering star of 2022 anymore.

She was tripped up by Jessica Pegula in Montreal and Gauff at Cincinnati last summer, both times at the semifinal stage, so will want to gain confidence ahead of the Grand Slam by performing better in those events this year.

Elena Rybakina +800

It is surprising that Elena Rybakina has been no further than the third round in any of her five previous visits to Flushing Meadows.

The 25-year-old has spoken of her struggles with the often hot and humid conditions in New York and the distractions she has encountered during night matches at the iconic venue.

Rybakina was knocked out by Sorana Cirstea last year in a disastrous showing that saw her make 56 unforced errors and hit 30 winners before double-faulting on match point.

Finding consistency will be the key to the Kazakh going deeper into the tournament and if everything starts to click for her she certainly has the talent to take the title.

Coco Gauff +850

Last year’s epic US Open win gave Coco Gauff a huge confidence boost and she has continued to develop, despite not having been able to get past the semifinal stage at the three subsequent Slams.

Reaching the last four at Indian Wells earlier this year represents her best performance at that tournament to date.

And she pushed Sabalenka in two close sets of their Australian Open semifinal in January.

All that has been done with a new coaching team after the American split with Pere Riba late last year and switched to working with Brad Gilbert, the former coach of Andre Agassi and Andy Roddick. 

Gilbert believes Gauff’s serve has untapped potential and it is interesting to note that the American produced the fastest women's serve of the fortnight at Melbourne Park earlier this year.

Her popularity exploded after last year’s title win and, as an American player at her home Grand Slam, she will not lack support at the US Open, which can be a significant advantage in high-pressure matches.

Odds displayed within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.