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2024 US Open: Men's Outright Odds

Novak Djokovic recently captured his fourth US Open title, giving him 24 Grand Slam singles titles overall. Now that the festivities in New York have come to close, it’s time to look ahead toward 2024.

Tournament favorite Novak Djokovic took care of business at the US Open in 2023, but it was otherwise a relatively surprising fortnight in New York. 

Top seed Carlos Alcaraz lost to Daniil Medvedev in the semifinals, while No. 4 Holger Rune exited in the first round and Jannik Sinner was ousted by Alexander Zverev in the fourth round. 

Unseeded Ben Shelton made it all the way to the quarterfinals, beating fellow Americans Tommy Paul and Frances Tiafoe along the way.

Although we have a year to wait before the best tennis players in the world take their talents back to New York City, the odds for the 2024 event are already out. 

Let’s take a look at the outright odds to win the US Open men’s singles title in 2024.

What2024 US Open
WhereUSTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York
WhenMonday, August 26 - Sunday, September 8, 2024
How to watchESPN
OddsNovak Djokovic +125, Carlos Alcaraz +150, Daniil Medvedev +700

Novak Djokovic

Current Outright odds - +125

Djokovic was almost entirely dominant on his way to a fourth US Open title and record-equalling 24th Grand Slam title overall. 

He won six of his seven matches in straight sets, with the only hiccup coming against fellow Serb Laslo Djere in the third round – when Djokovic had to come back from two sets down. 

Back up to No. 1 in the rankings, the 36-year-old pretty much has to be considered the favorite at every tournament he enters. 

That should be the case until he gets much older or injuries become a major issue.

Carlos Alcaraz

Current Outright odds - +150

Alcaraz took down Djokovic in five sets in the Wimbledon final earlier in 2023, which is the only reason why Djokovic didn’t win the calendar-year Grand Slam. 

There would be no rematch in the US Open title tilt, however, as Alcaraz’s surprising setback against Medvedev prevented the tennis world from witnessing the matchup it wanted to see. 

Still, it has been an outstanding 2023 campaign for the 20-year-old – highlighted, of course, by his triumph at the All-England Club. 

Without question the top two players in the world (Djokovic and Alcaraz) have separated themselves from the rest of the pack.

Daniil Medvedev

Current Outright odds - +700

Medvedev’s upset of Alcaraz was especially surprising given how hopeless the Russian had looked against the Spaniard earlier this season in Indian Wells and at Wimbledon, but everyone should know to never discount Medvedev, at the US Open in particular. 

The 27-year-old finished runner-up to Rafael Nadal in 2019 (lost in five sets) and then lifted the trophy in 2021 (defeated Djokovic in straight sets). 

He reached the final again in 2023, but this time Djokovic turned the tide and beat Medvedev in straight sets.

Jannik Sinner

Current Outright odds - +1200

It feels like only a matter of time before Sinner becomes a major champion, but a whole host of brutal losses in five-set marathons have to be weighing on him. 

The most recent one was an energy-sapping thriller against Zverev in New York City. 

That was preceded by a 2022 US Open quarterfinal loss to Alcaraz in what was without question the match of the year in tennis that season. 

At just 22 years old, Sinner has already reached at least the quarterfinals of every major – including the Wimbledon semis this summer.

Alexander Zverev

Current Outright odds - +1200

Zverev will almost certainly win ATP Comeback Player of the Year given his 2023 success on the heels of a terrible ankle injury sustained at the 2022 French Open. 

He climbed back up to the top 10 following a summer that included a title in Hamburg, a semifinal showing in Cincinnati and a quarterfinal performance at the US Open. 

Zverev is a former runner-up in New York (2020) who could once again be one of Djokovic’s primary competitors in 2023.

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