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Lorenzo Musetti vs. Novak Djokovic: Picks, Predictions and Odds

Seven-time champion Novak Djokovic is a strong favorite to make yet another Wimbledon final, with the Serbian expected to take care of semifinal opponent Lorenzo Musetti.

Djokovic has had an underwhelming season, failing to win a single piece of silverware, but he is still on course for an eighth Wimbledon crown despite having injury concerns in the build-up to the grass-court major.

The 37-year-old received a bye into the last four as quarterfinal opponent Alex De Minaur was forced to withdraw with a hip injury.

That means he should be fresher than Grand Slam semifinal debutant Musetti, who required five sets and a shade over three and a half hours to come through his last-eight battle with Taylor Fritz.

These two have some recent previous in Grand Slam competition, having locked horns at the French Open only last month, and Djokovic came from 2-1 down to prevail in a five-set epic.

That was on clay and this, however, is the first grass-court meeting between the pair and, while Musetti deserves plenty of praise for reaching this far, Djokovic is slowly but surely finding his rhythm and is going to be tough to topple.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Novak Djokovic betting picks and predictions

Novak Djokovic to win 3-0 +110

There was a lot of doubt surrounding the title chances of Djokovic prior to Wimbledon, with the world number two having been out of action since withdrawing ahead of his French Open quarterfinal with Casper Ruud.

With not a single title success this season and some concerning defeats to the likes of Luca Nardi, Alejandro Tabilo and Tomas Machac, Djokovic’s powers appeared to be on the wane.

But, just like that, Djokovic is on the brink of his 10th Wimbledon final, having finished runner-up to Alcaraz 12 months ago.

The Serbian hasn’t been wholly convincing at the All England Club this year, with him needing four sets against both Jacob Fearnley and Alexei Popyrin.

However, his 6-3 6-4 6-2 victory over Holger Rune in round four was his most convincing display and he should be refreshed having been given a bye through the quarterfinal, meaning he has had three full days of rest.

Compare that to Musetti, who has dropped a set in all five of his wins and is coming into this off the back of a five-set marathon with quarterfinal opponent Fritz, and that could make an almighty difference.

So Djokovic, having won five of their six meetings, is fancied to prevail relatively comfortably and a 3-0 victory is what appeals at the prices.

For all Musetti has achieved in reaching his first ever Grand Slam semifinal, Fritz is the only seeded player he has come up against and the American may have been feeling the effects from his previous five-setter with Alexander Zverev.

Refreshed, refocused and seemingly growing into the competition, Djokovic can send out a statement to his final rival with an authoritative straight-sets victory, which is available to back at +110.

Lorenzo Musetti under 1.5 breaks of serve -125

Djokovic is the true definition of a grass-court specialist and he has been serving extremely efficiently at Wimbledon, having faced a total of only 10 break points across his four matches.

Rune was unable to convert any of his two break-point opportunities, Popyrin took one of his two while opening-round rival Vit Kopriva was unable to carve out any.

Fearnley may have converted four of the six breakpoint opportunities he created but that can go down as a below-par display from the 24-time Grand Slam champion and he should be fully focused for the challenge ahead in this semifinal.

There is every possibility that Musetti is feeling the effects of his three-hour 30-minute scrap with Fritz in the quarterfinal and Djokovic is expected to post a comfortable win.

With that in mind, the Italian youngster may struggle to adjust to the Djokovic serve and going under 1.5 breaks of serve makes plenty of appeal at odds of -125.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Novak Djokovic odds

Lorenzo Musetti +500
Novak Djokovic -800

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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