Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff: Picks, Predictions and Odds

History beckons for Aryna Sabalenka or Coco Gauff, the top two players in women's tennis, who meet in the French Open Women’s Singles Final on Saturday.

It’s the first time since 2013 that the women ranked first and second in the world clash in the Paris final and both will be seeking their maiden French Open crown.

For Sabalenka, it will conclude a highly successful clay-court campaign in a year that is shaping up to be her best in tennis.

The Belarusian has won 18 of her 20 completed matches on clay in 2025, a sequence that includes reaching the final in Stuttgart and taking the Madrid Open title last month. She has dropped only one set during six solid wins that have brought her through the top half of the Paris draw.

Similarly, Gauff has won five of her six matches in straight sets and came from behind to beat Australian Open champion Madison Keys in the quarterfinals.

The Delray Beach native shut out a partisan home crowd when taking out French hope Lois Boisson in the semifinals and will be looking to repeat her victory over Sabalenka from the 2023 US Open Final.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff betting picks and predictions

First set total games over 9.5 (+100)

Sabalenka secured a straight-sets win when they met in Madrid last month, clinching the opener in a hurry after stretching out to an early 4-1 lead thanks to a couple of breaks.

Gauff eventually settled into the contest, which was more even after that point, with the Belarusian taking nine of the next 17 games to win 6-3, 7-6.

This match could be just as close as that one with victory going to the player who holds their nerve on the key points.

Both are mentally tough individuals who will not be phased by falling behind or get carried away if they establish an early advantage.

That suggests a tight struggle in the opening set, which may be decided by a single break of serve or even go into a tie-break.

Four of the seven sets Sabalenka has played against top-20 ranked opponents in Paris have featured more than 10 games, while three of the five sets between Gauff and top-20 players have also gone Over 9.5 games.  

Coco Gauff -5.5 Double Fault totals handicap (-120)

A double-faulting problem has dogged Gauff this season. She served more doubles than any other woman at the Australian Open in January (35) at a rate of seven per match.

It was a similar story for her at the two big hard-court events in the spring, with the American star serving 12 double faults in her 4-6, 4-6 loss to Magda Linette in the fourth round in Miami and 21 in her opening-round match against Moyuka Uchijima at Indian Wells.

Coming into the French open, she had double-faulted on 26% of her second serves this season - 3% higher than anyone else in the world’s top 50.

The weakness in her serve has continued to be a theme in Paris with Gauff serving 33 doubles in her six wins to date, while Sabalenka, for comparison, has produced only 12.

The Belarusian has one of the lowest miss rates on her second serve in women’s tennis and, if she keeps her mistakes to a minimum on Saturday, could ensure Gauff has at least six more double-faults than Sabalenka, which would see this handicap land.

Over 0.5 Total Tie Breaks (+250)

Three of the last four head-to-head clashes of these rivals have featured at least one tie-break, including the Madrid final meeting in April.

Whether one of the sets in Saturday’s final goes the distance will depend on several factors but there is no doubting the amount of respect the players have for each other’s games and how closely matched they are on paper.

Sabalenka’s recent clay form makes her a worthy favorite but Gauff is no slouch on the surface and has a better career win percentage on dirt than the current World No. 1.

Sabalenka has faced only 28 break points during her march to the final - many fewer than Gauff - but the American’s main success in Paris has been her return of serve.

She may be able to create more break-point chances than Sabalenka’s previous opponents and strike back if she drops her own serve, thus increasing the chances of a tie-break.

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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff odds

Aryna Sabalenka	-200
Coco Gauff	+170

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.