Subriel Matias vs. Liam Paro: Picks, Prediction and Odds

Our resident boxing expert Rob Tebbutt breaks down this weekend's IBF super-lightweight world title bout between Subriel Matias and Liam Paro, and gives his picks and prediction for the fight.

Read Subriel Matias vs. Liam Paro fight date, ring walk time, how to watch, undercard & odds on site.

Subriel Matias vs. Liam Paro picks and prediction

It’s Subriel Matias’ first fight under Eddie Hearn and Matchroom Boxing, and a fight I do expect him to look good in.

Liam Paro is a very capable operator and had a good win over Montana Love last time out, and a first-round stoppage win over Brock Jarvis before then.

But this is a different level for Paro.

Matias is considered by many to be one of the most avoided fighters in all of boxing and has a 100% win rate by knockout, of course just one defeat (against Petros Ananyan) which he has subsequently avenged by KO.

I do expect Matias to chew Paro up in those middle rounds. As we’ve seen in the past, when Matias gets going, it is very, very difficult to hold him off. We’ve seen four of his last five stoppages coming between rounds five and eight, and that’s where my money will be this weekend on Matias.

I do expect Paro to try and utilize his boxing skills early on, he is a crafty operator. But ultimately, I think Matias will drag him into a dogfight and take him out somewhere in those middle rounds.

My plays this weekend are Subriel Matias by KO/TKO/DQ between Rounds 5-8 at +175, and I’ll also be looking at Matias between Rounds 4-6 at +300.

Subriel Matias vs. Liam Paro odds

	Subriel Matias	Liam Paro
Money Line	-800	+500
To Win By KO, TKO or DQ	-350	+1200
To Win by Decision or Technical Decision	+550	+1000

Read Subriel Matias vs. Liam Paro Tale of the Tape on site.

Odds displayed within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.