Spain vs. France Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

Spain and France face off in the first Euro 2024 semifinal on Tuesday in what could be a classic encounter.

Both of these European heavyweights had to dig deep in the last eight as Spain prevailed in extra time against hosts Germany, while France needed a penalty shootout to overcome Portugal in their quarterfinal assignment. 

Spain vs. France betting picks and predictions

Dani Olmo anytime goalscorer (+375)

Dani Olmo should come into the Spanish starting side on Tuesday after replacing Pedri early on in the victory over Germany.

Pedri picked up an injury in that game and now looks likely to sit out the rest of the tournament, but Olmo proved he is more than capable of deputising as he opened the scoring against the host nation.

Olmo is Spain’s joint top scorer with two goals despite starting just once, and sitting out the group stage win over Italy entirely.

The fact the 26-year-old is comparatively well rested may also work in his favor, as France came through extra time in their last assignment as well.

Olmo came into Euro 2024 after a modest season in terms of scoring for club side RB Leipzig in Germany, hitting four goals in 21 Bundesliga games.

However, he was more effective in cup competitions with four goals in as many appearances and the way Spain play should free up a bit of space that he can exploit on Tuesday as he likes to make runs from deep.

The midfielder is averaging a hefty 3.5 shots-per-game at Euro 2024 despite playing for just 268 minutes in total, meaning he is averaging 4.7 attempts per 90 minutes.

Those stats suggest Olmo should see a few chances come his way even against France’s strong backline and he looks a good price to get on the scoresheet again. 

Lamine Yamal - Player of the Match (+1000)

The Player of the Match market can be difficult to navigate as the individual named as the best player almost always comes from the winning team, so backing Lamine Yamal to take the honor here may also hinge on a Spain victory.

La Roja have looked far sharper in attack than France as they have 11 goals while France have managed just three - two own goals and a penalty.

That extra flair in attack could be key, and youngster Yamal may well play a big role in a potential Spanish victory.

The Barcelona prodigy has been improving with every game and was arguably unlucky to miss out on being named Man of the Match against Germany.

Olmo took the plaudits there, potentially because of his goal, but Yamal could pick up the honor in the last four.

He has three assists to his name in Germany, while he is averaging 2.6 shots and 2.8 key passes-per-game.

Yamal should find himself up against Theo Hernandez on Tuesday and if he is able to get the better of the AC Milan defender on a regular basis he may stand out as Spain’s star man and as a result be named the Player of the Match in this semi-final tie. 

Kylian Mbappe over 1.5 shots on target (+162)

Kylian Mbappe has scored only once for France at Euro 2024 but he has still been getting plenty of chances and he remains the focal point of Les Bleus' attack.

Mbappe is averaging 4.8 shots-per-game and despite his lack of goals he has been incredibly accurate. The Real Madrid-bound forward is averaging exactly two attempts per game on goal and he has seen a further one blocked.

The 25-year-old struggled to make an impact at times against Portugal in the previous round but still had five attempts in total, two of which were on target, so he can at least test the Spanish keeper twice in the semi-finals even if he is unable to get his name on the scoresheet. 

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Spain vs. France odds

Spain win	+160
Tie	+190
France win	+210

Spain vs. France player props

Anytime Goalscorer

Kylian Mbappe (France)	+220
Alvaro Morata (Spain)	+250
Feran Torres (Spain)	+300
Joselu (Spain)	+300
Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain)	+300
Ayoze Perez (Spain)	+333

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.