Uruguay has a chance to all but secure its place at World Cup 2026 when facing Venezuela on Tuesday.
A win for the hosts would move them six points clear of Venezuela in the play-off place with just two games remaining, while the visitors are looking to at least hang on to seventh.
La Vinotinto can still finish in the top six but would probably need at least six points from their final three games to move into those automatic qualification spots, while they sit four points clear of Bolivia immediately below them with a further advantage of a vastly superior goal difference.
Uruguay looked set to qualify early for next year’s tournament in the USA, Mexico and Canada but a run of two points from their last four qualifiers means they still have some work to do ahead of Tuesday’s game.
La Celeste should be able to claim the spoils against a Venezuela side who travel poorly. Fernando Batista’s side have 18 points from their 15 qualifiers but just two of those have been picked up in their seven away assignments and they’ve lost each of their last five on their travels, including friendlies.
Normally, a comfortable Uruguay win and a clean sheet should probably be expected in this fixture but the hosts are having a bit of a wobble and Venezuela know they probably need one more win to ensure they at least land the play-off spot.
The visitors have scored in each of their last eight games and in each of their last three away qualifiers - losing all three - and they can strike in defeat against a Uruguay side who have managed just one clean sheet in their last five games.
With a Venezuela goal predicted, there is some appeal in picking out a visiting player to score but the standout option is for Josef Martinez to at least record one attempt on goal.
Martinez hasn’t scored in qualifying in five appearances but he is enjoying a fantastic season in MLS with San Jose Earthquakes.
The former Torino and Atlanta United attacker has seven goals in 14 MLS games and is averaging 1.6 shots on target per game for his club, with 2.5 attempts per game in total.
If he can carry his MLS form into the international stage, he looks excellent value to at least test the Uruguay 'keeper.
Darwin Nunez is Uruguay’s top scorer in qualifying but he isn’t in the squad due to suspension, while Nicolas de la Cruz is next in the scoring charts but he’s absent due to injury.
Uruguay lacked bite in attack in defeat to Paraguay last week, and that may result in Giorgian de Arrascaeta being moved into a more attacking role.
The midfielder is in sensational form for club side Flamengo with nine goals in as many Brazilian Serie A games, and he looks Uruguay’s most likely candidate for an anytime effort.
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Uruguay | -208 |
Tie | +310 |
Venezuela | +650 |
Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Uruguay) | +138 |
Agustin Alvarez (Uruguay) | +163 |
Rodrigo Aguirre (Uruguay) | +163 |
Luciano Rodriguez (Uruguay) | +188 |
Brian Rodriguez (Uruguay) | +200 |
Maximilano Araujo (Uruguay) | +260 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.