Spain vs. France: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

Spain beat France in the last four on their way to Euro 2024 glory and La Roja hope to repeat the feat in Thursday's UEFA Nations League semifinal in Stuttgart.

Spain vs. France betting picks and predictions

Spain ML (+135)

European champions Spain bids to add the Nations League to their trophy collection this summer and they can see off France in Thursday's second semi-final.

La Roja came from behind to defeat Les Bleus 2-1 at this stage of last year's European Championship, going to beat England by the same scoreline in the final.

Spain is not resting on their laurels under coach Luis de la Fuente and they topped Group A4 of the Nations League in impressive style.

De la Fuente's men took 16 points from a possible 18 against rivals Denmark, Serbia and Switzerland, scoring 13 goals and conceding only four.

Spain's quarterfinal clash with the Netherlands was less comfortable as they needed penalties to edge past the Dutch after a dramatic 5-5 aggregate draw.

France also reached the semi-finals thanks to a shootout, having dragged themselves out of trouble in a tense tie against Croatia.

Didier Deschamps' team lost the first leg 2-0 before second-half goals from Michael Olise and Ousmane Dembele earned them a 2-0 home win in the return fixture.

Dembele is one of seven France squad-members who were involved in last weekend's UEFA Champions League final – five from the triumphant Paris Saint-Germain side as well as Inter Milan's Marcus Thuram and Benjamin Pavard.

Assessing the fitness of those players is a priority for Deschamps, who will have to reshuffle his defence because of injuries to Barcelona's Jules Kounde, Bayern Munich's Dayot Upamecano and Arsenal's William Saliba.

Spain, with Barca playmaker Pedri back to his best, look a more settled unit and they should be backed to win in 90 minutes in Stuttgart.

Nico Williams to score or assist (+160)

Spain's brilliant attacking midfielders starred in their Euro 2024 triumph and they are expected to menace a depleted French defence in the Nations League semi-final.

Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo scored the goals that knocked out Les Bleus last summer and they should line up alongside Athletic Bilbao's Nico Williams.

The left-winger has been strongly linked with a transfer to EPL clubs Arsenal and Liverpool and English soccer fans already know all about his qualities.

Williams scored the opening goal against the Three Lions in the European Championship final and looks a good bet to score or assist against France in Stuttgart.

He had 10 goal involvements, five goals and five assists, in 2,001 minutes of La Liga action in 2024/25, also contributing five goals and two assists in the UEFA Europa League.

Manchester United ended Athletic's hopes at the semi-final stage of that competition with Williams missing the second leg at Old Trafford due to injury.

However, he had 16 shots in Spain's last three Nations League matches, scoring in the quarter-final first leg against the Netherlands, and should have a big impact on Thursday.

Lucas Digne to be shown first card (+1800)

Aston Villa Lucas Digne is likely to start at left-back for France and he could have a busy night against tricky winger Yamal and marauding Tottenham right-back Pedro Porro.

Digne had a decent disciplinary record in the EPL, picking up four yellow cards, but he was also cautioned twice during Villa's run to the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals.

One of his league bookings came in his penultimate start, away to Manchester City, when he was the first player on either team to be shown a card.

Subduing Spain's right-sided threats will not be easy and Digne merits a small bet to pick up the first booking of the semi-final.

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Spain vs. France odds

Spain	+135
Tie	+220
France	+225

Spain vs. France player props

Anytime Goalscorer

Kylian Mbappe (FRA)	+187
Randal Muani (FRA)	+210
Alvaro Morata (ESP)	+225
Lamine Yamal (ESP)	+225
Samu Omorodion (ESP)	+225
Dani Olmo (ESP)	+260

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.