Manchester City vs. Al-Hilal: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

Manchester City continues their bid to be crowned Club World Cup champions with a last-16 clash against Al-Hilal on Monday.

The Premier League outfit have earned more money at the Club World Cup than any other side, thanks to their dominant display in the group stage.

City were the only team to win all three group games, a feat which they completed while scoring 13 times. Their 5-2 victory over Juventus in their final game was a real statement of intent, despite Pep Guardiola claiming he’d treat this tournament as a warm-up for the 2025/26 campaign.

Next up for City is an Al-Hilal side who impressed in the group stage, causing problems for Real Madrid, while pipping Austrian side Salzburg to second place.

Can Simone Inzaghi continue his strong start in the Al-Hilal dugout with a shock result against City? Read on to find out our predictions.

Manchester City vs. Al-Hilal betting picks and predictions

Over 3.5 goals (-120)

After scoring six against Al Ain and another five against Juventus, you could make the case for City to cover this line on their own. While Al-Hilal are a solid side, this also marks a shift for them, as they are preparing to meet a City side in full flow.

Al-Hilal played their part in frustrating Real Madrid in a 1-1 draw in their opening game. However, Real were missing Kylian Mbappe, started 21-year-old Gonzalo Garcia up front, and missed a late penalty in a game where they generated 2.64 Expected Goals (xG).

Despite Real carving out 19 opportunities, including four big chances, the Spaniards were criticised for a lack of fluidity in their opening game under Xabi Alonso. From there, Al-Hilal conceded another 1.69 xG across two easier clashes with Salzburg and Pachuca.

The City side they face in the last 16 is playing with a newfound freedom, following a difficult 2024/25 season. Guardiola’s back-to-the-future tactical twist has been to reintroduce the idea of playing real full-backs at full-back, allowing the rest of the side to focus on dominating possession through the middle of the park.

Erling Haaland is set to lead an exciting City side, supported by Ryan Cherki, Omar Marmoush, Bernardo Silva, and Tijjani Reijnders. The threat of them pushing forward should overwhelm an Al-Hilal side that can be overrun in midfield.

However, Joao Cancelo and Renan Lodi offer the Saudi side some wide threat behind their wingers, so there’s every chance City get exploited too. 

Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 1+ shots on target (-120)

Former Lazio midfielder Sergej Milinkovic-Savic has had seven shots at this tournament, two of those ending up on target.

While he is yet to score at the Club World Cup, he’s a player who can threaten from distance against City.

He has the second-highest non-penalty xG of any Al-Hilal player at the tournament, while he’s their most talented operator in the final third. Back Milinkovic-Savic to prove to be the Saudi outfit’s biggest threat against Premier League opposition.

Rayan Cherki to register an assist (+200)

With the goal line looking quite high here, we can expect some joy for City going forward. That can come through new signing Rayan Cherki, as he has yet to make an assist in City colors. 

Cherki made 11 assists for Lyon last term, while he leads City in Expected Assists at the tournament. It’s easy to see him slotting in behind Marmoush and Haaland in possession, so back the Frenchman to tee up one of his new teammates.

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Manchester City vs. Al-Hilal odds

Manchester City	-400
Tie	+525
Al-Hilal	+900

Manchester City vs. Al-Hilal player props

Anytime Goalscorer

Erling Haaland (Man City)	-250
Omar Marmoush (Man City)	+110
Phil Foden (Man City)	+125
Rayan Cherki (Man City)	+150
Savinho (Man City)	+175
Oscar Bobb (Man City)	+175

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.