Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The Club World Cup knockouts continue on Monday, with Inter Milan facing their biggest test of the tournament so far when they meet Fluminense.

The Brazilian side were runners-up behind Borussia Dortmund in the last round, but they gave the Bundesliga outfit a scare when the two sides met.

Inter have work to do when it comes to repairing their reputation after their UEFA Champions League final drubbing, following a series of underwhelming displays at this tournament.

Can the Nerazzuri lay down a marker here, or will they fall short against Fluminense?

Inter Milan vs. Fluminense betting picks and predictions

Tie or Fluminense (+110)

Inter topped their group with seven points from three games, but digging into those matches a little more presents some concerns. The Nerazzurri did have good underlying numbers in all three games, but they also made tough work of what should have been a very straightforward schedule.

Milan were paired with River Plate, Monterrey, and Urawa Red Diamonds in the group. They opened the tournament with a 1-1 draw against the Mexican side, while they trailed 1-0 for 67 minutes against Urawa, which could have changed the course of their campaign. A Lautaro Martinez equaliser was followed by a 92nd-minute winner for an Inter side who went into that clash as overwhelming favorites to win.

Inter wrapped up top spot with a 2-0 win over River Plate, but the Argentine side held them scoreless for 72 minutes. The Nerazzurri’s opener came seven minutes after River Plate had a man sent off, while the Argentine side lost their discipline and finished with only nine players.

That makes them a side to oppose, as Fluminense went unbeaten through the group stage. The Brazilian side are unbeaten in their last nine matches. They’re a brilliantly organised side defensively, so back them to make life tough for an Inter side who led for less than 30 minutes across their three group matches.

Under 1.5 Goals (+200)

This Fluminense side is built on a solid backline, which has been vital to their progress at the tournament. They have the lowest Expected Goals Against tally of all 32 sides at the Club World Cup, having conceded just 1.7 xG across their three group matches.

Fluminense were able to play with their backs to the wall when it mattered, holding Mamelodi Sundowns to a 0-0 draw when they only needed a point to progress. They also opened the tournament with a goalless draw against Dortmund. However, they won the xG battle in that contest, holding the German side to just 0.24 xG.

Fluminense will make life tough for an Inter side who have struggled to make the breakthrough at this tournament. As a result, under 1.5 goals is well priced at +200.

Carlos Augusto to make 2+ fouls (+163)

Fluminense forward Jhon Arias has been a physical presence in all of their games at the Club World Cup, committing five fouls while drawing nine of his own.

The forward has been most active in their two cagiest games, the pair of goalless draws in the group stage. He drew three fouls against Dortmund, while he was fouled a further four times against Mamelodi Sundowns. 

The Colombian plays on the right-hand side of Fluminense’s front three, so he’s going to be a real test for Inter wing-back Carlos Augusto.

The Brazilian started two of their three group games, while he was booked against River Plate last time out. Back the wing-back to pick up two or more fouls matched up against Arias. 

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Inter Milan vs. Fluminense odds

Inter Milan	-143
Tie	+250
Fluminense	+425

Inter Milan vs. Fluminense player props

Anytime Goalscorer

Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan)	+140
Sebastiano Esposito (Inter Milan)	+160
Marcus Thuram (Inter Milan)	+175
Luis Henrique (Inter Milan)	+200
Mahedi Taremi (Inter Milan)	+200
Matteo Spinacce (Inter Milan)	+200

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.