Inter Miami are hoping to climb up the Eastern Conference standings when they host fellow Florida side Orlando City on Sunday.
Last season’s Supporters’ Shield winners have been in mixed form of late, winning only one of their last four MLS matches to sit fifth in the East. The visitors are one point and two places behind the Herons, although they have played a game more.
The visitors are in possession of the final guaranteed spot in the playoffs, but they could climb as high as fourth with a win at Chase Stadium.
For all of Inter Miami’s impressive attacking options, their defensive issues could ultimately derail their season. The Herons have conceded 15 goals across their last five matches, following their 3-3 draw with San Jose Earthquakes in midweek.
Inter Miami were eliminated from the Champions Cup with a 3-1 loss to Vancouver Whitecaps, so they can’t be trusted at the back. The hosts should be concerned about Orlando City’s scoring form, as the visitors have netted exactly three goals in three of their last four MLS matches.
The hosts have seen at least four goals scored in each of their previous five matches, while their MLS home outings are averaging 3.67 goals per game.
Half of the Herons’ MLS games have featured four or more goals, while the visitors have shared 10 goals across their last two matches.
With the hosts struggling at the back, Orlando City should get plenty of encouragement to push forward and cause problems. Inter Miami won 5-0 in this fixture last year, so the visitors’ push for some revenge should lead to a high-scoring game.
While Inter Miami boast some big-name scoring threats, the form man here is Orlando forward Martin Ojeda. The Argentine has scored eight goals in MLS this season, more than any player across the two sides. He’s boosted his tally with four strikes in his last two matches, including a hat-trick in the 3-3 draw with New England Revolution.
Ojeda scored in a victory at LA Galaxy and a draw at the New York Red Bulls earlier this season, so he can also deliver on the road. The forward should be heading into this contest full of confidence, so expect him to build on his good scoring form.
With Inter Miami shipping 15 goals across their last five matches - conceding three or more in four of those - Ojeda’s price of +275 to find the net holds a lot of appeal.
Orlando City have been a tough side to beat this term, losing only two of their 13 matches. The visitors suffered defeats in two of their first three matches, but they are unbeaten in 10 since.
Orlando won the Expected Goals battle in their 4-2 loss to Philadelphia in their opener, so they should be happy with their displays this term ahead of this trip. However, the visitors have shared a few too many draws, with five of their last eight finishing level.
The hosts are likely to drop more points over the course of this season due to their defensive issues, while they host an Orlando side who have scored exactly three times in three of their previous four. Given how Inter Miami are playing at both ends of the pitch, another high-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.
In the correct score betting, both 2-2 at +1100 and the massive price of +3300 on a 3-3 draw are well worth considering, given that two of the previous three MLS meetings between the pair have also finished level.
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Inter Miami | -134 |
Tie | +300 |
Orlando City | +300 |
Lionel Messi (Inter Miami) | -120 |
Luis Suarez (Inter Miami) | -110 |
Fabrice Picault (Inter Miami) | +187 |
Tadeo Allende (Inter Miami) | +187 |
Duncan McGuire (Orlando City) | +220 |
Luis Muriel (Orlando City) | +240 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.