Eastern Conference rivals Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls meet at Chase Stadium in Fort Lauderdale on Saturday in MLS.
Inter Miami come into the game after losing out on a place in the final of the CONCACAF Champions Cup, having lost 5-1 on aggregate to Vancouver White Caps, and they face a New York Red Bulls side who have found a bit of form with two wins in their last four games (D1, L1).
Inter sit in fifth place in the East with 18 points from nine games, the Red Bulls are eighth with 15 points on the board after 10 games.
Inter Miami have lost their last three games in all competitions ahead of Saturday’s MLS fixture but the visit of New York Red Bulls looks like a good chance to end that mini-slump.
Just two of the Red Bulls’ 15 points have come from their four road games and a lack of goals has been an issue, with the team from New York managing just one goal so far on their travels.
Inter have a mixed home record but they have managed two wins in five attempts in MLS at this venue and they should have the quality to see off one of the league’s worst travellers.
Javier Mascherano’s men have managed two clean sheets in their last three MLS games and they can claim the points and a shut-out against New York Red Bulls on Saturday.
Lionel Messi hasn’t been quite as productive in the early stages of the current MLS season as he was last year but he’s still putting up some good numbers and can make an impact this weekend.
Messi has three goals and two assists in six appearances in this competition, having grabbed 21 goals and 18 assists in 22 games last year, but he probably should have more in both areas.
The veteran Argentine forward averages a hefty 4.8 shots per-game and as a creative force he’s been key for Inter. Messi has a pass success rate of just over 82% and he’s averaging an impressive 2.7 key passes per-game.
The 37-year-old is -120 to score, but the bigger price on an assist for Messi looks the better angle here given his passing stats.
A goal for New York Red Bulls isn’t expected but they should get a few chances and an interesting outside bet here is over 1.5 attempts on goal for visiting forward Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting.
The former PSG and Bayern Munich man has four goals in 10 MLS games this season and he’s had at least two attempts in five of those games.
Choupo-Moting is averaging a solid 1.4 shots per-game in this competition and he tends to be accurate.
Less than 25% of his attempts are recorded as officially off target and he manages 1.2 attempts per-game either on target (0.9), blocked (0.2) or off the woodwork (0.1) so as a +275 chance to have at least two shots on goal the Cameroonian looks a value play.
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Inter Miami | -154 |
Tie | +300 |
New York Red Bulls | +400 |
Lionel Messi (Inter Miami) | -120 |
Luis Suarez (Inter Miami) | -110 |
Leo Afonso (Inter Miami) | +175 |
Fabrice Picault (Inter Miami) | +188 |
Tadeo Allende (Inter Miami) | +188 |
Robert Taylor (Inter Miami) | +220 |
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (New York Red Bulls) | +250 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.