Brazil vs. Paraguay: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

Brazil’s struggles continued with a 0-0 draw at Ecuador, meaning they’ve won just one of their previous five internationals.

The five-time World Cup winners are fourth in South American qualifying, trailing Argentina, Ecuador, and Tuesday’s opponents, Paraguay. 

While there’s no fear for Brazil in terms of slipping out of the top six, they’ll want revenge on Tuesday night against a Paraguay side that beat them 1-0 last September. 

Brazil vs. Paraguay betting picks and predictions

Over 5.5 Brazil shots on target (-120)

Paraguay’s success in this qualifying campaign has been down to a solid defensive set-up. While the modern game has moved towards possession and heavy pressing, Paraguay goes against the grain by allowing its opponents to hold the ball.

Paraguay’s best results in this campaign have come with incredibly low possession numbers. They beat Argentina 2-1 in November, recording just 23% possession in that victory. They had just 29% of the ball in their win over Brazil last year, while Thursday’s win over Uruguay saw them allow their opponents 71% of possession.

Brazil is currently averaging four shots on target per game, but that number should increase with the hosts set to dominate possession.

Paraguay has held sides at bay so far, but they did allow Argentina 15 shots in their last encounter. They head to a Brazil side that had 17 and 18 shots in their last two home matches, while new Brazil boss Carlo Ancelotti will look to name a side packed with impressive attacking midfielders.

Brazil’s players dominate the goalscorer markets, which points to how dominant they’re expected to be in this game. The game could look like target practice for the hosts, so there’s plenty of appeal in backing Over 5.5 shots on target in this clash at -120.

Brazil to win to nil (-110)

The other side of Paraguay’s low-possession numbers is a lack of cutting edge up top, with the visitors scoring just 13 times across their 15 qualifiers so far.

Paraguay have scored only four times in their seven away trips in this campaign, while they head to a Brazil side who have conceded less than a goal per game at home so far.

Paraguay have lost to nil in each of their previous two qualifiers in Brazil, although this contest is unlikely to be as one-sided as those 4-0 and 3-0 defeats.

Brazil can still follow up their clean sheet in Ecuador with another shutout at the Neo Quimica Arena on Tuesday. The hosts are heavy favorites for the victory, so the best way to get behind them is to back a win to nil at -110.

Raphinha to score anytime (+175)

One big change for Brazil in this clash is the return of Raphinha. Ancelotti was full of praise for the Barcelona winger as he confirmed he would return to the side for the clash with Paraguay. He hailed the winger as one of the best players in the world, while he has been key to Brazil’s qualifying campaign so far.

Raphinha leads the side in terms of shots, shots on target and goals. He has struck five times in this campaign, while he’s coming off the strongest season of his career for Barcelona. The winger has 11 goals in 33 caps for his country, while he offers some real value in the scoring stakes.

Raphinha is +175 to find the net anytime, while there’s also a lot of appeal at +500 for him to score first in what is expected to be a tight game.

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Brazil vs. Paraguay odds

Brazil	-250
Tie	+333
Paraguay	+800

Brazil vs. Paraguay player props

Anytime Goalscorer

Richarlison (Brazil)	+125
Vinicius Jr (Brazil)	+150
Estevao (Brazil)	+175
Raphinha (Brazil)	+175
Matheus Cunha (Brazil)	+210
Gabriel Martinelli (Brazil)	+225

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.