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Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

Borussia Dortmund is hoping to cap off a remarkable run to the Champions League final with an upset victory over Spanish champions Real Madrid.

Dortmund returns to Wembley Stadium, the scene of their Champions League final defeat to Bundesliga rivals Bayern Munich 11 years ago.

This time around, the opposition is led by a familiar face - Jude Bellingham, who left BVB for Real last summer.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid betting picks and predictions

Tie +333

Real Madrid is the heavy favorite to take home the European Cup, priced at -334 to lift the trophy. However, it’s worth noting that Real has drawn four of their previous five Champions League games, including a meeting with a RB Leipzig side that finished two points above Dortmund in the Bundesliga.

Real struggled home and away to Leipzig, while battles with Man City and Bayern Munich were also close. Meanwhile, Dortmund has managed three clean sheets in its last five Champions League games, recording a quarter-final win over Real’s neighbours Atletico.

The manner of Dortmund’s semi-final victory against PSG also suggests this final will be a close run encounter. Keeping clean sheets home and away to the champions of France points to BVB being able to shut down Real.

The Champions League final hasn’t gone to extra-time since the 2016 clash between Real and Atletico in San Siro. That six-year spell is the longest spell without a draw after 90 minutes since a run of nine finals in the late 70s to early 80s. After a stretch of low-scoring showpiece clashes, back this clash to head to extra time.

0-0 Draw +1400

None of the previous five Champions League finals have seen both teams score, so backing against BTTS is a good option at +100. However, with a draw already predicted there’s the tempting option of a goalless clash at +1400.

As explained, Dortmund’s form suggests they can shut down Real and avoid conceding. However, the Spaniards finished the La Liga campaign as the best defense in the division. Tense 1-0 victories at Mallorca and Real Sociedad helped to clinch the Spanish crown, so expect that level of defending at Wembley too.

The previous four Champions League finals have each finished 1-0, including Real’s victory over Liverpool in Paris two years ago. Scoring has been trending down in the final since the late 2010s and that could lead to the first 0-0 draw in the Champions League final since 2003.

I think both sides will set up well early on and the longer it stays goalless the less likely either manager is to gamble on a victory.

Dortmund will play the role of underdogs well, which plays against a Real side that thrived on counter-attacking against Manchester City in the last eight. As a result, back this to be 0-0 after 90 minutes.

Real Madrid to win on penalties +1200

Real Madrid are worthy favorites to win the Champions League, especially looking at their record once they reach this stage. In 17 appearances in the European Cup final, Real have lost only three times. 

The first two of those came in the 1960s, in the middle of a spell when Real won six titles in the first 11 years of the competition. Their last final loss was to Liverpool in 1981 in Paris, something they avenged in 2022.

It took Real 17 years to return to the final after that loss to the Reds, but each of its last eight appearances in the Champions League final have seen them emerge victorious. Against a Dortmund side which lacks experience, Real can hold its nerve and take this final on penalties.

Read Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid how to watch, TV channel, streaming, kick-off time, head-to-head stats and team news on site.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid odds

Borussia Dortmund

+375

Tie

+333

Real Madrid

-163

Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid player props

Anytime Goalscorer

Vinicius Jr.

+150

Rodrygo

+150

Jude Bellingham

+175

Mato Joselu

+175

Arda Guler

+210

Brahim Diaz

+260

Niclas Fullkrug

+375

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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